Hey guys, so I had this interesting hand earlier today that I found my self a bit clueless of what I should do here.
PokerStars Zoom, Hold'em No Limit - $0.01/$0.02 - 6 players
UTG: $12.09 (605 bb)
MP: $3.44 (172 bb)
CO: $2.19 (110 bb)
BU (Hero): $5.02 (251 bb)
SB: $1.58 (79 bb)
BB: $1.92 (96 bb)
Pre-Flop: ($0.03) Hero is BTN with Q♠ A♠
UTG raises to $0.05, 2 players fold, Hero 3-bets to $0.18, 2 players fold, UTG calls $0.13
Preflop, pretty standard.
Flop: ($0.39) A♥ 9♥ K♦ (2 players)
UTG checks, Hero bets $0.14, UTG raises to $0.36, Hero calls $0.22
Flop hits our range really well, so we cbet here 1/3 of the pot size, we get X/R by villain who I have marked as a NL2 Reg. I think his X/R consists of FD/some 9X/99s/KJs/QJs. Since there was no 4bet pre I assume villain never has AA/KK/AK here.
Turn: ($1.11) 9♠ (2 players)
UTG bets $1.07, Hero calls $1.07
Villain bets full pot on turn which is a 9. Theoretically, villain has very few 9x combos in their range, so it's very unlikely his hand just improved to trips, so I think it's safe to call here as villain can still bet all his FD/gutshots as semi-bluff.
River: ($3.25) J♦ (2 players)
UTG checks, Hero checks
River is a J, quite a brick card on this board, as we block Q10 combos so very unlikely Villain improved to a straight here and FD missed. He checks, I decided to check back, but I think that's a mistake here. I think I should go for a thin value bet here, around 25% of the pot to get called by worse Ax/Kx and maybe some Jx, as our hand looks pretty under repped the way we played our hand.
Total pot: $3.25 (Rake: $0.11)
Showdown:
UTG shows K♥ Q♦ (two pair, Kings and Nines)
- Pre-Flop: 24%, Flop: 14%, Turn: 5%, River: 0%)
BU (Hero) shows Q♠ A♠ (two pair, Aces and Nines)
- Pre-Flop: 76%, Flop: 86%, Turn: 95%, River: 100%)
BU (Hero) wins $3.14