[Closed] Anybody know the odds?

You have 1/220 chance to get AA and you have the same chance to get KK. So, it's 1/220 x 1/220 = 1/48400.

thanks Bugleboy

no problem

how bout this one then bugleboy if you're the odds wizard.
AA, followed by AA, followed by KK, followed by Q-10, followed by AA
I even have the saved hand history to prove it...the only bad thing was that apart from the first hand, eveyone folded to my std raise and i just picked up blinds

It doesn't happen very often:

1/220 (AA) x 1/220 (AA) x 1/220 (KK) x 1/82 (Q10) x 1/220 (AA) = 1/192089920000

your bankroll management is, in one word, non existent

im taking odds on you posting an thread sometimes soon saying you had a massive downswing, everything came wrong and you went broke because of donkeys

Originally posted by bugleboy
It doesn't happen very often:

1/220 (AA) x 1/220 (AA) x 1/220 (KK) x 1/82 (Q10) x 1/220 (AA) = 1/192089920000

so similar odds to winning lotto....to be honest, i'd happily give those hands back to win lotto ♠_biggrin:

Originally posted by AussieIan

Originally posted by bugleboy
It doesn't happen very often:

1/220 (AA) x 1/220 (AA) x 1/220 (KK) x 1/82 (Q10) x 1/220 (AA) = 1/192089920000

so similar odds to winning lotto....to be honest, i'd happily give those hands back to win lotto ♠_biggrin:

Actually the odds of winning the lottery are much better. For example in Hungary the odds are "just" 1/44,000,000 ♦

Originally posted by AussieIan
how bout this one then bugleboy if you're the odds wizard.
AA, followed by AA, followed by KK, followed by Q-10, followed by AA
I even have the saved hand history to prove it...the only bad thing was that apart from the first hand, eveyone folded to my std raise and i just picked up blinds

It's 50% chance, DUCY?

How come you're playing NL100 and you're still silver and how come you're playing NL100 and don't know how to calculate this yourself? Really, it's very simple maths.

Originally posted by luitzen
How come you're playing NL100 and you're still silver and how come you're playing NL100 and don't know how to calculate this yourself? Really, it's very simple maths.

Odds for going broke in this case are very very big ♦.

today I had AA, AK, 49s, 23o, 99, 72o, TT, K2o, Q5s, 33, J4o consecutive. I swear. Seriously guys.. What are the odds of that?

I'd guess not big. But any combination of 7-10 hands are unlikely and I guess about the same chance as winning the lottery

Originally posted by luitzen
How come you're playing NL100 and you're still silver and how come you're playing NL100 and don't know how to calculate this yourself? Really, it's very simple maths.

How come you people love to criticise others just because he asked a simple question?

Have you realized that the OP could have just deposited his own money to play? Therefore he's using bankroll management but didn't started playing with just $50 like most people here? (And if he's not following BRM it's his problem and I couldn't care less)

And don't you realize that a lot of people don't know very simple maths!? And some of this math isn't really needed to play poker (although it certainly helps).

BTW, the odds above are slightly miscalculated, but since you're SO good at simple maths I'm sure you already noticed that right!? Then I'm gonna let you give him the right answer!

Originally posted by Faye6891

Originally posted by luitzen
How come you're playing NL100 and you're still silver and how come you're playing NL100 and don't know how to calculate this yourself? Really, it's very simple maths.

How come you people love to criticise others just because he asked a simple question?

Have you realized that the OP could have just deposited his own money to play? Therefore he's using bankroll management but didn't started playing with just $50 like most people here? (And if he's not following BRM it's his problem and I couldn't care less)

And don't you realize that a lot of people don't know very simple maths!? And some of this math isn't really needed to play poker (although it certainly helps).

BTW, the odds above are slightly miscalculated, but since you're SO good at simple maths I'm sure you already noticed that right!? Then I'm gonna let you give him the right answer!

I didn't give my opinion, but I'm genuinely interested.

Odss for AA folowed by KK is the same as AA followed by 23 or any other two cards.

This two events are independent...

btw ... today.sng... QQ , next hand QQ.....

Originally posted by bugleboy
It doesn't happen very often:

1/220 (AA) x 1/220 (AA) x 1/220 (KK) x 1/82 (Q10) x 1/220 (AA) = 1/192089920000

I should take a look at my high school math books for the precise formula, but you're missing one thing - these events have to happen exactly in this order which makes oddse even worse. In your case the calculation says 'just' what's the possibility of these events to happen, no matter what the order would be. I'm a bit rusty at the moment to come up with the right formula. I just thought I'd mention this since I should be studying at the moment and any excuse not to comes handy. ♦

Originally posted by luitzen

Originally posted by Faye6891

Originally posted by luitzen
How come you're playing NL100 and you're still silver and how come you're playing NL100 and don't know how to calculate this yourself? Really, it's very simple maths.

How come you people love to criticise others just because he asked a simple question?

Have you realized that the OP could have just deposited his own money to play? Therefore he's using bankroll management but didn't started playing with just $50 like most people here? (And if he's not following BRM it's his problem and I couldn't care less)

And don't you realize that a lot of people don't know very simple maths!? And some of this math isn't really needed to play poker (although it certainly helps).

BTW, the odds above are slightly miscalculated, but since you're SO good at simple maths I'm sure you already noticed that right!? Then I'm gonna let you give him the right answer!

I didn't give my opinion, but I'm genuinely interested.

The way you put it looks more like an attack though.

Originally posted by StjepanVG
Odss for AA folowed by KK is the same as AA followed by 23 or any other two cards.

This two events are independent...

btw ... today.sng... QQ , next hand QQ.....

Actually no it isn't. The odds of being dealt 23 are greater than being dealt KK since you have more 23 combinations than KK combinations.

Originally posted by Berkstajger

Originally posted by bugleboy
It doesn't happen very often:

1/220 (AA) x 1/220 (AA) x 1/220 (KK) x 1/82 (Q10) x 1/220 (AA) = 1/192089920000

I should take a look at my high school math books for the precise formula, but you're missing one thing - these events have to happen exactly in this order which makes oddse even worse. In your case the calculation says 'just' what's the possibility of these events to happen, no matter what the order would be. I'm a bit rusty at the moment to come up with the right formula. I just thought I'd mention this since I should be studying at the moment and any excuse not to comes handy. ♦

Actually I hadn't noticed that mistake. ♦

But you're right, he's actually counting all the possible orders for the events to happen. If I'm not mistaken you'd have to divide it by 5! to find the odds of getting these events happenning in this exact order.

But the odds used are also wrong, what you have to use here for these calculations is 6/1326 = 1/221 instead of 1/220.

So the odds should be:

1/221 (AA) * 1/221 (AA) * 1/221 (KK) * 1/82.875 (QT) * 1/221 (AA) * 1/5! = 1/23,723,233,429,545

If I didn't make any mistakes, this should be it.

EDIT: As luitzen pointed out below, the calculations are wrong, you have to multiply it 5! to find the odds of these events ocurring in any order (or so I think).

So here are the right numbers: (I believe)

1/221 * 1/221 * 1/221 * 1/82.875 * 1/221 = 1/197,693,611,912.875

It's the opposite. You have to multiply with 5! to get the possibility that these events occur in any order.

Well, I'm not sure though since it's been a long time I last studied probability. Gonna take a look into it when I got the time.

EDIT: Actually I think you're right, did some quick calculations here and it seems to be the opposite.

EDIT2: Actually, I know I'm not gonna search for this but I did some calculations and I believe you're right, it's the opposite. I'm editing my previous post.