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Is he turning AA into a bluff?

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BunBun00
Joined: 13.09.2023

3-handed, BU opens, SB 3bets A♣:2♣:Q♦:T♦:, BB folds, BU 4bets, SB calls.
9♥:8♥:5♥:T♣:Q♠: SPR 1
Flop and Turn check through, River SB checks, BU bets 75% leaving 10BB behind.
Flop is pretty good for me, but with this combo and against unknown and at SPR1 it's a check. OTT again no point in betting. OTR I think his range is mainly AA, but perhaps AKK, and perhaps AKQJ$ds. But it doesn't matter if it's we assume it's 100% AA. Now would he play AA + nut flush this way? Unlikely imo. So as the title did he realize that he's unlikely to win at showdown and so he's turning AA into a bluff. Or is he value betting AAxx that improved into a Straight.
Probably should have folded pre :rage:, it's close though.


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ghaleon
Joined: 17.10.2007

I would fold to 4bet and only use absolutely best Axds rundowns as call. Even those are marginal in gto and usually people are more AA heavy than they should be.

Some question we can think of in this spot:
- How often do we have better in our range?
- What is bottom of villain value range?
- Do we block that value range and beat bluffs?

So it's somewhat easy to have straight on this board so from that point of view top two is not that high in our range. Depending of our triple check range composition. We should have some flushes as well.

I would think KJ is value betting usually as bottom. Maybe even Q high straight if he assumes you would not check with flush.

We don't have heart, K or J so we don't really block any of villain value range. From this point of view I think our hand is pretty bad and I would just fold.


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Coach
Kyyberi
Joined: 09.07.2010

I would think that if he wanted to turn his hand to a bluff, he would have done it earlier. It could be the nut flush that slowplayed all the way, or he is value betting the straight.


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Mascherano95
Joined: 09.10.2010

Originally posted by ghaleon
I would fold to 4bet

+1

Rule of thumb: Fold all single pocket pairs lower than AAxx, almost all Ace-high and most King-high unpaired hands against a 4bet!

PS: And fold all hands that are tripsuited or worse.


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