[Closed] 2/4$ Sh AQs river play

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gape0000

Joined: 28.08.2007

Posts: 627

10.06.2009, 22:00 0

Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

Play hand

$2/$4 Fixed-Limit Hold'em (6 handed)

Preflop: Hero is SB with Q:s, A:s.
MP2 folds, MP3 calls, CO raises, BU folds, Hero 3-Bets, BB folds, MP3 calls, CO caps, Hero calls, MP3 calls.

Flop: (13.00 SB) 8:h, 6:d, K:s (3 players)
Hero checks, MP3 checks, CO bets, Hero calls, MP3 calls.

Turn: (8.00 BB) 8:s (3 players)
Hero checks, MP3 checks, CO bets, Hero calls, MP3 calls.

River: (11.00 BB) 6:s (3 players)
Hero bets, MP3 folds, CO raises, Hero 3-Bets...
Final Pot: 17.00 BB.

Ok so i was really active at the table playing stg like 35/35 lag style so his capping range is a bit wider then normal i would presume , well im not sure about the river play ? Check/raise or donk? Is the 3 bet overplayed?

Opponent is unkown but looks TAG more or less after around 30 hands,
MP3 seemed like a semi-weak TAG.

"Just remember, tight is right but its fucking boring"

1 reply

_Anonymous_

11.06.2009, 20:43 0

Hi gape0000,

I like giviing him this capping range:

Board: 8h 6d Ks
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 28.165% 19.70% 08.46% 9948 4272.50 { AsQs }
Hand 1: 71.835% 63.37% 08.46% 31997 4272.50 { 99+, AJs+, KQs, AQo+ }

28% is not much but after a cap, a backdoorstraightdraw, -flushdraw and a third, probably very bad, player in a flopcall is fine.

On the river you are only beat by KK out of his range above. Sometimes 88, rarely 66 and A8s.
Let's say MP3 will call 50% of the time if you donkbet. 75% if you check/call and never if you check/raise (in case you have him beat).
If you get raised I like calling the most as there is almost no hand that will raise/call you which you still have beat.

Donkbet/call:

CO's calling range: JJ, QQ, AA, AK, KQs
CO's raising range: KK

6 JJ, 3 QQ, 3 KK, 6 AA, 9 AK, 9 KQ

6+3+6+9+9 = 33 times you win 1 BB from CO and 16,5 BB from MP3 (calls half the time).
3 times you lose 2 BB.

33+16,5-6 = 43,5 BB

Check/call:
I think he may check behind JJ and QQ now.
24 times you win 1 BB from CO, 24*0,75 = 18 BB from MP3.
You lose 1 BB 3 times.
24+18-3 = 39 BB

Check/raise:
He bets the same, he may fold KQs again the check/raise and 3-bets KK.
24 times 1 BB, 15 BB from his call and 3 times you lose 3 BB.
24+15-9 = 30 BB

From that donkbet/call is the best but you can adjust so many things here to get the result you want. I prefer the donkbet as I think he will call more hands than he will valuebet.
I don't see him raising enough hands to justify the 3-bet as you have to be 66% favorite to make that profitable.