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A punt?

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BunBun00
Joined: 13.09.2023

140bb eff
UTG opens A♦:8♦:T♠:9♣:, MP CO SB and BB call
5♥:Q♦:2♦:7♠:K♣:
Flop, UTG c-bets 66%, Co calls, rest fold
Turn, UTG double barrels 100%
River (SPR 0.75), UTG shoves
The flop is dry and it's hard for the players to connect with it. So I c-bet assuming I have a decent amount of FE. OTT I pick up GD. I do have a little bit too much equity to be bluffing here with a GD+NFD, but on the other hand I'm OOP and If I check and face a bet I'm in difficult spot. So I double barrel. Also the blank :7x: is decent for my range as it's a blank, not this hand class though. I do block the FD which sucks. The river is a clear shove imo with the :Kx: blocker.


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ghaleon
Joined: 17.10.2007

Decent fold equity and 5way pot sounds like dangerous assumption. Yeah it's not that easy to hit strong but we are also against 16 cards with no pair blocker. So I would start with check.

Turn SPR is like bit over 3 I think so if we face turn shove we would need to call bit over 2 for pot of 7.5. Meaning we would need around 30% equity which we don't quite have. Lot of equity to be bet-folded though so we should be careful with this kind of combo. Likely better option is to just x-c.

Problem for river is that having nfd we block clearly most likely draw CO could have. He might still possibly have some A34x or 6543 type now and then but those should be rare. K should hit to villain range often with stuff like KK+fd or some KQ+fd. Which feel quite likely combos. If he had set or two pair going for call, call line it's questionable if those will fold anyway with all draws busting. So as played x-f river imo.


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Kyyberi
Joined: 09.07.2010

Check flop. In reality you have close to 5% FE to make all 4 opponents fold.


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Mascherano95
Joined: 09.10.2010

Originally posted by Kyyberi
Check flop.

+1


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