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[Closed] nl200 FR 46s hard spot

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Paf4488
Joined: 24.11.2007

Poker Stars $1/$2 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 151720
The Official DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter

BB: $92.65
UTG: $266.75
MP: $40.00
Hero (CO): $244.55
BTN: $200.00
SB: $44.55

Pre Flop: ($3.00) Hero is CO with 4 :diamond: 6 :diamond:
2 folds, Hero raises to $6, BTN calls $6, 1 fold, BB calls $4

Flop: ($19.00) 8 :club: 2 :diamond: T :diamond: (3 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $14, BTN raises to $48, BB folds, Hero ?

what to do here, its kind of a big rr.
Opponent is 15/12/3 over 850 hands.


2 replies
Joenaes
Joined: 18.07.2008

I think you should call

If you call and you hit your flush on turn (if you dont hit on turn you got too fold) you must get extra $62 (advanced equity calculator) from him and I think thats almost always the case so.


Bierbaer
Joined: 27.05.2005

I'm not 100% sure whether to call or fold, it's close.
If you call you're likely to have some implieds because the guy is tight. But it could also mean that he will be scared as hell once the flushdraw hits.

Since it is such a close spot i prefer to fold.

I feel like you either get in a near to breakeven spot with a marginal profit or have a huge -EV spot since you'll call the flop to fold the turn if you don't hit or you call the flop, hit - and then what?
Donking into him will reduce your implieds to a level where they could turn the EV of your flopcall from positive to negative, and checking would be dangerous because if he checks back you don't want to see either a paired board or a fourth :diamond: on the river - you most likely have some reverse impplied odds there.