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[Closed] T9s 2/4 SH

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strat9
Joined: 06.02.2008

Known players:
[tg]Position_Stack:hands/vp$ip/RaisePreflop/AF/WTS/ORL/BBvsSteal/W$SD;SB$150.50:92/46 /23 /1.7/41 /27 /25 /71 ;Hero$104.00:///////;[/tg]
2/4 Fixed-Limit Hold'em (5 handed)
Hand recorder used for this poker hand: PokerStrategy Elephant 0.67 by www.pokerstrategy.com.

Preflop: Hero is MP3 with T♦, 9♦
Hero raises, 2 folds, SB 3-bets, BB folds, Hero calls.

36% EQ vs Approx
Flop: (7.00 SB) T♥, 5♦, 5♣ (2 players)
SB bets, Hero calls.

S: Call

64% EQ vs Approx
Turn: (4.50 BB) Q♣ (2 players)
SB bets, Hero calls.

Standard Line: Raise

Call?
-47% EQ vs Approx

Fold?
-3 outs
-2nd pair vs preflop 3 bet
River: (6.50 BB) A♣ (2 players)
SB bets, Hero calls.

Final Pot: 8.50 BB

I'm pretty sure the river should have been a fold with a Q, an A, and a flush on the board vs a preflop 3-bet. My question is what would be the best move on the turn?

For the turn, I gave him his full preflop range (Approx chart: 3 bet vs MP3) since he 3 bet preflop and since it was a paired/low card/ dry flop with a high card turn I figured he is most likely going to continuation bet the turn with his full range.

I think I mistakenly called the river because I had no idea what to do on the turn so my brain just said "calldown and see."


1 reply

Hi strat9,

with loose/agressive players behind you you may be a bit tighter preflop to avoid difficult spot. If they are very showdownbound T9s is pretty bad because you have to hit to win the hand most of the time so it's often not worth raising at all.

I like the plan to call the flop to raise a good turn. Sure a flopraise is not bad either to get a light calldown by him.
The Q :club: is pretty bad so not raising is the best now. You are still too often ahead to fold so call is the best play.
The completed flushdraw shouldn't bother you. He won't have it very often. The chance that he has outdrawn you is pretty high.
But he seems to a be a LAG so he could use the A :club: with a lot worse hands to get you off a better one.
Well against the approx range that is not a lot but I think he may be a bit looser and is able to 3-bet JTs, T9s as well (ok that doesn't help at all).
How would he play 66-99? I think he will bet very often with these. Is that enough?

Board: Ac Qc Th 5d 5c
Dead:

Equity Gewonnen UnentschiedenVerloren Hand
Spieler 1: 22.000 % 21.000 % 2.000 % 77.000 % Td9d
Spieler 2: 78.000 % 77.000 % 2.000 % 21.000 % 66+, A9s+, KQs, QJs, JTs, T9s, ATo+, KQo

We need no more than 14% equity here so with 22% we should make the call.

Board: Ac Qc Th 5d 5c
Dead:

Equity Gewonnen UnentschiedenVerloren Hand
Spieler 1: 11.111 % 11.111 % 0.000 % 88.889 % Td9d
Spieler 2: 88.889 % 88.889 % 0.000 % 11.111 % 88+, A9s+, KQs, ATo+, KQo

Against this range it would be a fold so it all depens how he may play the small pocketpairs. I like to call as I don't think that he likes check/call a lot with them (nor check/fold).