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[Closed] 2/4 FR AQo Mp1

6 Posts
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Verre
Joined: 24.02.2009

Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

Play hand

$2/$4 Fixed-Limit Hold'em (9 handed)

Preflop: Hero is MP1 with Q:d, A:c.
UTG1 folds, UTG2 calls, Hero raises, 3 folds, BU 3-Bets, 2 folds, UTG2 calls, Hero calls.

Flop: (10.5 SB) 7:d, 2:h, 4:c (3 players)
UTG2 checks, Hero checks, BU bets, UTG2 folds, Hero calls.

Turn: (6.25 BB) 8:s (2 players)
Hero checks, BU bets, Hero raises, BU calls.

River: (10.25 BB) 5:s (2 players)
Hero bets, BU folds, Hero gets uncalled bet back.

Final Pot: 10.25 BB.

Preflop I make my standard raise with 1 limper behind me. Unfortunately the button who is a relatively tight 13/7 player makes a 3 bet. UTG2 calls and I'm more than priced in to make the call.

The flop comes rag and I want to see what the button does. He does the expected con bet and UTG2 folds. With UTG2 out I now have a decent chance to take down this pot without a showdown. I have seen Button fold to aggression postflop with what I'm assuming was semi weak holdings.

Turn comes 8s and its time to do a check reraise to either take the pot down now or set myself up for a nice bluff on the river. Button makes the bet, I make the raise, and unfortunately for me he calls, showing minor strength.

River comes 5 putting a gutshot on the board. At this point I make my planned bet. I'm going to lose if Button makes the call, I think he has AKo or AKs as that is really one of the only hands in his range he would have called the reraise with on the turn without 3 betting or folding. Thankfully he folds to my bet.


5 replies

His tight prefloprange gets you in a very bad position. You are most of the time behind and you have to invest 3 BB (he won't fold any hand out of his range directly often enough to your turn check/raise as even AK has 6 outs against you).
So you invest 3 BB to win 7 BB (pot at the time BU bet the turn) + 1 BB (his turncall). So you need to win ~1/3 to be at least break even.
Another problem is that he might check Ax behind so you are up against pocketpair only.

Board: 7d 2h 4c 8s
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 11.105% 08.83% 02.27% 171 44.00 { AcQd }
Hand 1: 88.895% 86.62% 02.27% 1677 44.00 { 99+, AQs+, AKo }

As you see you have around 11% so simply fold here and wait for a better spot.


Isn't his 3bet range very pessimistic there Cirith? We have no stats on him. I see ppl 3bet here often with 88+, A9s+, KJs+, QJs, ATo+, KQo.
This is a 3bet range of about 10%. I don't think this is very loose for 3betting from the BTN.

When we check turn and villain bets, there are 7.25 BB in the pot.
So we need about 20% equity to call him down.

According to equilator we have 50% equity against this 3bet range.


Hi DarthBobo,

it doesn't matter where he's 3-betting from. The only important fact is that we raised from MP1 so for him to have more than 47% against our range he has to raise pretty tight.
If you add his stats (13/7 as posted by Verre) my range should be pretty good here.


Oh sorry I didn't read his explanation, so didn't see his stats.
My mistake.


Haha never mind. :)