[Closed] nl 100 42s

Advanced hand discussions for No Limit

Last Post by Bierbaer 17 years ago

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_Anonymous_

07.09.2009, 12:46 0

Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

Play hand

$0.5/$1 No-Limit Hold'em (6 handed)

Known players:
[tg]MP2$132.74:///////;MP3$123.70:///////;CO(Hero)$98.50:///////;BU$148.58:///////;SB$125.02:///////;BB$100.00:///////;[/tg]

Preflop: Hero is CO with 4:c, 2:c.
2 folds, Hero raises to $3.00, BU calls $3.00, 2 folds.

Flop: ($7.5) Q:h, 9:c, 7:s (2 players)
Hero bets $4.00, BU calls $4.00.

Turn: ($15.5) T:c (2 players)
Hero bets $9.00, BU calls $9.00.

River: ($33.5) 7:c (2 players)
Hero bets $26.00, BU raises to $132.58(All-In), Hero calls $56.50(All-In).

Final Pot: $248.58.

Villains stats:

27/19/2.0
WTSD 67
38hands
river agrresion 28%
river aggression factor inf

Would you bet on turn as well? Or perhaps C/R? Not sure which line is better here. Tc is quite a good card to reps KJ plus now i have flush draw.

Now, after i am reeavaluating my play, i think i should have just folded river.
I dont think he would play 2 pair that way. So either he has a fullhouse or a better flush.

What you think?

1 reply

Bierbaer

Joined: 27.05.2005

Posts: 4,656

10.09.2009, 12:46 0

I'd fold preflop.
With a guy that loose behind you it will be very hard to play this hand +EV because you'll almost never hit something so most of the time you'll have to bluff to win the pot.

As played i'd bet bigger on the flop, you have no SD-value at all so you don't want to encourage a call of your opponent.

At the turn it is a tough spot, on the one hand you got some additional equity, but at the same time the T improves lots of hands of your opponents range like JT, T8, 86, KJ, 87, etc.
So i'd check and hope he bets small.
You have 9 outs so you need approximately 4:1 while if he bets $10 you're getting 2.5:1, so you need to win another $15 on the river.
I think vs that kind of opponent you have the implied odds to call.

At the river it's tough again. You need to win ~33% of the time to break even.
I think backdoorflushdraws are somewhat unlikely for him to have and most players would've raised a set by the turn at the latest.
But at the same time i think he's almost never bluffing there.
So a bet/fold is ok imo.

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