[Closed] NL600 SH - TPTK flop fold?

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Last Post by bumbi999 17 years ago

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bumbi999

Joined: 12.03.2008

Posts: 37

17.10.2009, 12:03 0

v:31/25/2,4 wtsd:30 wsd:49 hand:4K

Can I fold this ow I want to go allin on the flop?

About his range:

Board: Ah 7h 3s
Dead:

Equity Win Tie Loss Hand
Player 1: 38,678 % 38,404 % 0,548 % 61,048 % AdKc
Player 2: 61,322 % 61,048 % 0,548 % 38,404 % 77, 33, AQs, A7s, A3s, KhQh, JhTh, 9h8h, 73s, 5h4h, AQo, A7o, A3o

Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

Leosztás lejátszása

$3/$6 No-Limit Hold'em (6 handed)

Known players:
[tg]MP3$360.00:///////;CO$1009.00:///////;BU$645.00:///////;SB$334.50:///////;BB$1064.25:///////;MP2(Hero)$600.00:///////;[/tg]

Preflop: Hero is MP2 with K:c, A:d.
Hero raises to $18.00, MP3 calls $18.00, 3 folds, BB calls $12.00.

Flop: ($57) 3:s, A:h, 7:h (3 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $42.00, MP3 calls $42.00, BB raises to $200.00, Hero ?

3 replies

HannesNL

Joined: 19.11.2008

Posts: 648

17.10.2009, 16:02 0

I can't fold this, as it is very often a bluffraise IMO. I mean this is a sick spot to make a bluffraise, and even better since there is even more DM because of MP3. But it is really close.

Bierbaer

Joined: 27.05.2005

Posts: 4,656

18.10.2009, 17:40 0

Could you post the stats of MP3 and your own?
Do you know what kind of positional stats BB could have of you?
Just unmark the hand again once you posted the stats.

Without further reads i think i could actually fold this.
BB does not rep a huge range but i think at the same time he's not bluffraising there due to MP3s perceived fishness.
And vs BBs valuerange you are a dog.

You need 42% equity but you only have 38.
So this is a close spot and if i knew that BB is capable of pulling moves in this kind of spot (it's actually not the worst spot to checkraise even with MP3 in the hand since his range mostly consists of weak hands) the fold could easily switch over to a 3bet.

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bumbi999 Topic starter

Joined: 12.03.2008

Posts: 37

18.10.2009, 17:59 0

I don't know now the stats, but the assay is perfect for me.
I think too, the fold is a right option.