[Closed] NL100SH flop bluff raise, follow through?

mispost

I don´t think this guy is raising JT QT KT from MP. So i don´t like the coldcall pre too much but i think its okay. On the Flop u´re not repping much. TT 99 44 u would mostly call IP i guess. So u´re bluffing or semibluffing QJ. Hes not folding JJ+ or AT. U could bet turn and shove the River vs. JJ-KK.

We have gutshot outs so floating is definitely the preferred play. If we hit, we are going to get paid off huge as well since your straight draw is quite well disguised.

I prefer call flop fold turn or bluff raise turn (he is going to fire his air on the ace very often and if we do this we can better represent TT/99)

I'd also fold preflop, KJo is dominated vs the usual MP opening range (especially since the guy is only opening 16% overall).

At the flop i like floating better than raising, the board is reasonably dry and you're basically trying to get him off of AJ+, KQ - these will also fold at the turn and i think he's unlikely to 2ndbarrel the turn because your flopcall will look somewhat strong on this flop since 99, TT, 87-JT are well in your range.

As played i like turn and river, it sucks a bit that you only have 1/2 PS left at the river because he's getting 3:1 on his call but on the other hand your bluff only has to work 33% of the time to be profitable so i think it's almost certainly +EV.