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[Closed] NL100 77 hits a set

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Party Poker $100 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 429213
The Official DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter

SB: $125.93
Hero (BB): $176.26
UTG: $106.27
MP: $103.48
CO: $100.00
BTN: $100.00

Pre Flop: ($1.50) Hero is BB with 7 :club: 7 :spade:
UTG raises to $3, 2 folds, BTN calls $3, 1 fold, Hero calls $2

Flop: ($9.50) 7 :diamond: Q :heart: 4 :heart: (3 players)
Hero bets $6.50, UTG raises to $15, BTN folds, Hero raises to $40, UTG raises to $103.27 all in, Hero calls $63.27

Turn: ($216.04) 6 :diamond: (2 players - 1 is all in)

River: ($216.04) J :diamond: (2 players - 1 is all in)

UTG is 19/13/7/1.1 (vpip/pfr/3bet/af) over 168 hands.
BU is 21/18/9/2.7 (vpip/pfr/3bet/af) over 178 hands.

Is squeezing ever profitable in that spot?

On the flop I decide to donk out because we're 3way so it's more probable it'll get checked around and I don't want to give any free cards.
After a raise I decide to 3bet to 40$ to give him illusion that he has some fold equity left and induce a shove.


3 replies

if player pfr is 13, then I think it is smt like 7% UTG, which means you get called or 4-bet a lot
I´d prefer call pf. Postflop is fine, although since he is UTG you can also got o c/r, although bet/3-bet is likely the same


Bierbaer
Joined: 27.05.2005

Originally posted by radyan111
Is squeezing ever profitable in that spot?

The question is not whether it is profitable or not, the question is whether it is the most profitable move.
And i think a call has most certainly a higher EV than a squeeze because the opponents range is tight so you have good implied odds.

At the flop i'd lead, too.
If it gets checked around it is catastrophical for your hand not only because there are tons of scarecards for you but because these cards are scarecards for your opponents, too.
Another reason is, that if the opponent has any kind of hand he's at least calling, so you most certainly don't miss out on value.

And i think 3betting is inevitable, if you call the same reasoning for the scarecards applies and if your opponent is willing to get a TP/overpair in at the turn he's most likely also getting it in at the flop.


mbml
Joined: 27.11.2008

standard, nice hand

Squeezing with pocket pairs is just plain bad. We are rarely dealt pocket pairs and we hit sets very seldom. So we should always aim to see a flop with our pairs. There are so many other random junk that we can and should squeeze with like KXs, JXs etc