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[Closed] $3/6FR: Top two pair

4 Posts
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Hello,

Do we want to call the river or do we raise here?

Funktor

Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

Play hand

BU 18/10/35/2.5, no specific notes

$3/$6 Fixed-Limit Hold'em (8 handed)

Preflop: Hero is MP1 with A:d, J:h.
UTG2 folds, Hero raises, 3 folds, BU calls, SB folds, BB calls.

Flop: (6.5 SB) A:h, 2:s, 8:h (3 players)
BB checks, Hero bets, BU folds, BB calls.

Turn: (4.25 BB) 2:d (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets, BB raises, Hero calls.

River: (8.25 BB) J:s (2 players)
BB bets, Hero raises ????


3 replies
gape0000
Joined: 28.08.2007

I dont see many 2x hands in his cold-calling range so i raise the river vs AK,AQ,AT,(A9/A8 if they are in his calling range)


It is hard to say, but seems to that many players just cold calls AK, sometimes AJ vs MP or late position raises and that raises turn if they hit A.

As well it is not advisable isolate some limpers as per chart with A8o+, as they will smash in your face just regulary AJ+

Funktor


Well this is only a question about assumptions.

Board: Ah 2s 8h 2d Js
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 66.667% 66.67% 00.00% 12 0.00 { AdJh }
Hand 1: 33.333% 33.33% 00.00% 6 0.00 { AA, 88, 22, AQs+, A8s, A2s, AKo }

If this is his range then you can raise as you have 66%+ equity.

If I remove AQs and A8s:

Board: Ah 2s 8h 2d Js
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 57.143% 57.14% 00.00% 8 0.00 { AdJh }
Hand 1: 42.857% 42.86% 00.00% 6 0.00 { AA, 88, 22, AKs, A2s, AKo }

Then it's better to only call as he will 3-bet most likely all better hands and only calls the worse ones.

I have no idea how loose they check/raise on the turn at a FR table but I think it's pretty tight so I prefer to only call without knowing that he is very loose preflop and on the turn.