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[Closed] SH 0.5/1$ JJ set floped

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karlosibz
Joined: 11.04.2009

In this case I floped my top set in a connected flop. I'm pretty sure I have the best hand here (I only loose against QK). I'm IP so I play bet/call flop, raise/turn. I'm not really scared with his x/r flop for the reasons above. On the turn I'm loosing against AA as well, but I think he would have made the cap pf, so I try to get the most value possible. He raises again and because I'm IP I prefer to raise de turn again to maybe gain another extra BB. I'm not really scared about the backdorr FD. Is that move correct? And is my thinking about the hand well done?
Known players:
[tg]Position_Stack:hands/vp$ip/RaisePreflop/AF/WTS/ORL/BBvsSteal/W$SD;BB$43,60:820/29 /20 /1,6/41 /34 /50 /52 ;MP3$20,00:593/26 /21 /3,2/37 /38 /56 /67 ;CO$25,75:37/43 /30 /2,1/50 /56 /0 /33 ;Hero$48,00:///////;[/tg]
0,5/1 Fixed-Limit Hold'em (5 handed)
Hand recorder used for this poker hand: Elephant 0.69 by www.pokerstrategy.com.

Preflop: Hero is BU with J♣, J♦
MP3 raises, CO calls, Hero 3-bets, SB folds, BB calls, MP3 calls, CO calls.

Flop: (12,50 SB) J♠, T♦, 9♥ (4 players)
BB checks, MP3 checks, CO checks, Hero bets, BB folds, MP3 raises, CO folds, Hero calls.

Turn: (8,25 BB) A♦ (2 players)
MP3 bets, Hero raises, MP3 3-bets, Hero calls.

River: (14,25 BB) 2♦ (2 players)
MP3 bets, Hero raises, MP3 calls.

Final Pot: 18,25 BB


3 replies
bakela
Joined: 21.11.2009

I would be raising flop hoping to cap it. Turn card is very good he might have AJ and i would try to cap again. Call flop raise turn is maybe even better but I would cap only KQ and AA got you beaten you are far ahead most of the time.


Dawnfall26
Joined: 30.07.2008

Hi!

I like your call flop/raise turn line but his turn 3-bet scares me actually. Reasonable player cannot 3bet with AJ here since it should be a slight dog on this board against your range(You cant be raising anything worse than AT here since T9,JT,... are not really that often in your range)

so...I put him on 99(he probably is capping JJ/TT but being OOP he might not do it all the time) and KQ and sometimes AJ(when he is not thinking that much)

Equity Win Tie Loss Hand
Player 1: 47,369% 46,355% 2,029% 51,616% TT-99, AJs, KQs, KQo
Player 2: 52,631% 51,616% 2,029% 46,355% JdJc

I think this is a pretty good scenario and you are just a slight favourite here.

My line is calldown to his 3bet and raising FH rivers


karlosibz
Joined: 11.04.2009

Thanks a lot. One more thing, this guy got 87s (clubs). Am I the only one that thinks this hand is really strange in his range? I never though about it. Of course I noted him