Everyone of you might know at least one of the following expressions:
I am a good poker player but the fishes are getting lucky.
I am not earning enough money while playing poker. I have to play more!
Each of these expressions includes a decisive error in reasoning. I would like to point out that a little bit:
1.) I am a good poker player but the fishes are getting lucky.
Everyone of us already experienced a really bad session: no draw completes, every bluff gets caught and our made hands „improve“ to the second best hand on the river which means that we lose a lot of money.
Of course you can find someone who is responsible for that: variance.
But: Many of these expressions or thoughts which are hidden behind the variance are wrong: A player is never good enough!
To learn all the time and to improve your skills should never end. It is our goal as poker strategists to climb up the limits. For this rise we have to improve all the time. Also the implications which are connected with the expression „I am good enough to beat this limit“ are wrong. Most of the time the BB/100 value is gradable although we “beat“ the actual limit.
Don't look at the fishes how they hit their cards although they didn't get the odds (a nice effect of the variance: the fishes don't realize that they are making mistakes because the variance disguises it). Look at your game. Did you make every move correctly? Can you improve something?
2.) I am not earning enough money while playing poker. I have to play more!
Also this point is wrong. Of course it is your goal to play as much as you can to get experience and to climb up the limits. But you don't earn that much money. You earn money if you reach a high limit like NL200 or higher. Improving your skills rather than playing 8 hours a day 12-tabling NL25 will help you to earn money. From my point of view the learning – playing ratio should be at least 1:2. In the long run you will win a lot more.
, 9
.
, 2
, 3