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[Closed] SH 1/2 KQo

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Grabbed by Holdem Manager
Limit Holdem $1(BB) Replayer
Hero ($36.50)
BB ($29.25)
UTG ($25.25)
UTG+1 ($36)
CO ($51)
BTN ($9)

Dealt to Hero Q♦ K♠

fold, fold, CO raises to $2, fold, Hero raises to $3, fold, CO calls $1

FLOP ($7) 2♣ 6♠ 3♣

Hero bets $1, CO calls $1

TURN ($9) 2♣ 6♠ 3♣ 2♠

Hero ?

CO is 28/22/1.5/44 (171), fold to cbet turn 25%, bet vs missed cbet on flop IP 92% (no samplesize for turn). Should I fire again (b/f)? c/calldown? c/f?


2 replies
taavi1337
Joined: 29.05.2009

I'd bet the turn again. He could call you a lot on this flop, stuff like QT, JT, flushdraws. You don't want to give away a free card. Against a turn raise it's tough, he could raise with one of the two flushdraws. I'd probably b/c turn and think again on the river.


firsttsunami
Joined: 23.01.2006

i agree to tavi. i would bet/call the turn but many tag's don't semibluff with a flushdraw as they know that the majority of your hands are ax type of hands or pocketpairs and that you have as good as no fold equity and thus calling is supposed to be better hand raising. i think bet/fold is fine as well but if he could have picked a read that you are capable of doing tough folds, bet/call could be better but i just assume now that you ain't have gotten so far in history. what you do have to consider as well is whether he could raise for free showdown. if he can, then his Ax combination will probably lead to the fact that his flushdraws don't represent enough combinations, relative to his madehands and Ax-hands.

but it's basically unlikely that he raises with a-high with no flushdraw. it makes no sense to raise ax under common circumstances. if he folds 1 out of 4 times on the turn, you get under 25%, dividing 2/9. you just need make him to fold, both equitys not considered, 22% of 100. but on just 171hands, the value hasn't been well converged yet.

you are certainly below 50% equity on the turn but to keep your range balanced, you do also need a bet/fold-range on the turn and KQ would almost be the bottom-hand that you gonna fold.

another important thing that needs to be considered is whether he caps IP with strong hands sometimes or always even just calls with strong hands.

i'd very seldomly play c/f but if you have answered the mentioned questions correctly, it differs between most often bet/fold and sometimes bet/call on the turn and riverplay is another big topic. is he an advanced player who could even bet on a blank again according the motto "blanks are the new scarecards" ;)


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