Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $1(BB) Replayer
Hero ($103)
BB ($110)
UTG ($118)
CO ($100)
BTN ($100)
Dealt to Hero J♠ J♣
UTG raises to $3, fold, fold, Hero raises to $11, fold, UTG calls $8
FLOP ($23) Q♥ K♠ T♥
Hero bets $14, UTG raises to $42, Hero calls $28
TURN ($107) Q♥ K♠ T♥ 6♥
Hero checks, UTG bets $65 (AI), Hero folds
UTG wins $104
villain is unknown (only 7 hands). I think preflop is pretty standard given we are out of position. Flop is not great but could be worse. the flop raise vs our cb is pretty unpleasant since I think we are mostly behind if we get it in here. not sure whether my call is spewy?
If we give ourselves implied odds for the remainder of villain's stack (since it seems he is committing himself), we are calling $28 for potential pot of $129.75 (23+42+14+ 50.75 (villain's effective stack after we call)), meaning we need about 17.7% equity to call on the turn.
Equilator gives our 1 street equity against the range of {QQ+, TT, AKs, AKo} as 16.2% (26.5% to the river), in which case we would have a close fold.
Did I miss anything? I don't think we can argue for shoving the turn as I estimate our feQ to be almost 0.
thanks