Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $0.50(BB) Replayer
SB ($50)
BB ($69.50)
UTG ($56)
CO ($54.90)
Hero ($50)
Dealt to Hero 7♣ 7♠
fold, fold, Hero raises to $1.75, fold, BB raises to $5, Hero calls $3.25
FLOP ($10.25) 2♦ 9♣ 3♦
BB bets $5, Hero calls $5
TURN ($20.25) 2♦ 9♣ 3♦ A♠
BB checks, Hero checks
RIVER ($20.25) 2♦ 9♣ 3♦ A♠ 2♥
BB checks, Hero checks
BB wins $19.25
villain is 21/16/25 (AF), 201 hands, 3b 12%, cb 88%. could think about bluff 4betting pre but I marginally prefer a call. are there any reasons to raise villain's cb on the flop? I was tempted to bet the turn myself after villain checks it, since I hardly expect a player of this aggressive not to bet an ace in his hand. my sweat partner advised against it saying (I think correctly) that we would commit ourselves to betting the River big as well. Question is whether this is reasonable given that we are not likely ahead at showdown since when villain doesn't that the turn he signifies showdown value himself (since it's the obvious bluffing card.)
