[Closed] $2 AJs very late, clash of big stacks

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Proky11

Joined: 05.10.2009

Posts: 1,407

28.10.2010, 13:17 0

Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

Play hand

$300/$600 No-Limit Hold'em (5 handed)

Known players:
[tg]SB (Hero)$3530.00:///////;BB$1440.00:///////;MP3$4905.00:///////;CO$2490.00:///////;BU$1135.00:///////;[/tg]

Preflop: Hero is SB with A:s, J:s.
MP3 raises to $1,200.00, 2 folds, Hero raises to $3,530.00

I had read that MP3 player is just stealing here with mediocre hand and I also have some FE.
He is not trapping, he is just thinking "everbody so tight I am gonna min-raise again and they will surely fold nehehe".

Good move?

"I treat poker as a hobby. And that's the best solution I could ever find."

3 replies

_Anonymous_

29.10.2010, 11:40 0

MP3 is getting 2:1 to call you... I would need a VERY strong read on how much FE you have here to attempt this reshove with the stack set-up the way it is. you need to be very risk-averse here because of the two shorties.

Proky11 Topic starter

Joined: 05.10.2009

Posts: 1,407

29.10.2010, 12:26 0

Originally posted by lessthanthreee
MP3 is getting 2:1 to call you... I would need a VERY strong read on how much FE you have here to attempt this reshove with the stack set-up the way it is. you need to be very risk-averse here because of the two shorties.

Villain called w/ T9s, lost and I easily won tournament with huge chiplead.

But as a rule of thumb folding is always better move in this set up of stacks even Villain is quite loose...

"I treat poker as a hobby. And that's the best solution I could ever find."

_Anonymous_

29.10.2010, 13:12 0

assuming that he never folds we need

Equity needed: 64.61%
Chip odds: 42.17%
Risk premium: 22.44%

so if he raise/calls T9s he will most likely r/c 100% of his range here.

so even TT doesnt have enough equity against a 25% r/c range!

you can see the 22.44% risk premium is extremely high which means you have to be VERY risk averse here if he is this spewy and unlikely to fold. even with a hand as strong as AK or TT you cant re-shove here because you dont have enough equity against his loose r/c range. (i put him on 25% but you can play around with the equities if you want to see the different ranges)