2026 From Online Cash Games to Live

The English language hit the wall. Homonymes aren't that easy

I lack a little bit the experience of creating a good structure. JSON that is. All in one object or nested after all? Also have to realize that everything will take more time than estimated because I have to do smaller iterations. Instead of creating a quiz right away I need to store everything as short notes and summaries.

Just to practise I tried to use 2024 Beginner's Guide: Postflop Lesson as an example. It quickly got messy.
Like LemOn36 guides through the hand as hand category [made hand, bluff/worthless] -> position [ip, oop] -> our last action in previous street [R, C, 3B, RC, 4B] I will need to do something similar.

"Made hand" : {
  "Notes" : "good to very good and strong draws",
  "Monsters" {
    "Playstyle" : ['agressivly'],
    "Included Hands" : ['2p+'],
    "Excluded Hands" : ['2p on paired board']},
  "Top Pair" : {},
  "Overpair" : {},
  "Strong Draws" : {"Included Hands" : ['oesd', 'fd']}}

Slowly fill everything. And from there after all would be completed creat quizzes. And yes, it's not valid,

Speaking of smaller iterations. I was positively surprised how quick it was possible to have a short script that copies certain pages from a pdf and merge these excerpts together. Now I can create my personal journal for each day and load it on a reader. Several topic in one file. At the end of the day I only need to write down at which page I ended. The next day this will be first page followed by new unread pages.

I actually also studied a little bit of post flop for myself!

Discovered what not to do when creating a prompt. Falling forward is still progress.

Finally understood what the cold in cold calling or cold raising is figuratively referring to. The part of the engine that wasn't turned on yet. Doesn't have to anything to do with cold-hearted or cold-blooded. Not fearless just not involved yet...

Two arrays, one for hands to raise and second to fold. An infinite loop while True:. Getting the keypress with input = msvcrt.getch() compare input == b'q' as byte to break. Inside the game loop randomly pick a hand from two arrays. Add two elif for fold and raise. I picked == b'h' and == b'l'. I'm sure everyone can guess why. Done is the command line study tool written in python using only a keyboard. Doesn't need much more. Loading the arrays from file would be the first thing that comes in mind.

For the first time after a long time I felt something like the flow again. Now I need to get greedy. Twice a day and twice as long!

Looks pretty, I guess. But utterly useless for that what I asked it to be...

Don't know how to convey the point I want to make today. I did practice a little bit the 20bb range. Most ranges are coloured for facing two times action. What do? raise/bet and then what to do if someone continous any action after me. What is the more efficent way to study. Step one practise the complete line directly or all hands first bet and as a second coating what would I do next?

For me splitting makes more sense. Because I think the reverse will be much easier. To put the opponent on a set of starting hand. I have some counter arguments myself. But I guess then I would try to rebuttal it with later streets. If I only call preflop opponent's bet then I don't have the additional information if oppenent would have folded, called or even reraised my 3-bet. And somehow I would need to remerge those three ranges postflop to put opponent on a hand. Does that make any sense or am I too tired and rather should lay down?

Interesting table designs. Maybe that is the way to organize multi table possible at a live event.

Not much time to practise. But now I'm in a phase again where my mind start's to quizz itself when there is a little bit off-time. Wondering if I still remember the most correctly. Being curious.

Outside poker I managed to climb 45 steps on a stair without using the handrail. Downstairs is still a hassle. Don't know which leg first because both options feel wrong. Being outside for two days improved my mood as well. But now I need to be careful what I eat. I am overcompensating the small amount of excersie, in form of wabbling, I do.

Using the nose to get the feedback from more directions

Most of upcoming computers will come with a NPU. I still try to understand exactly what an NPU is or what I can use it. NPU are "replacing" GPU for AI calculations because they are more efficent. Not necessarily faster but using way less power. The task is a lot of inputs with the same transformation resulting in an ouput. Lot of hands as input some math and then the output as hand strength. That should make omaha solvers fast. Even run locally o your computer. Without any optimization just using all 60 combination from hand and board. Tempting to try to self-study NN again...

No AI art today. Maybe another gimmick next week

This timing. I was mentioned in the Content & Community section of the site.

Are you struggling with volume? So is Rhodriguez. This week he asked an open question, why is he not finding the time to play?

For a blog post two weeks ago. While I managed in a fake-till-you-make-it-style to post for nine days in a row, it was on that day I had to skip twice and to break the streak. Found a new bus route. I can hop on at the terminus and take a ride for 35 minutes. Because it's a terminus I will always have a seat. The idea would be to get my study repetions then. On the first ride I was able to finish a lot of organizing. But no poker. Missed the connecting train and strolled around instead of using that time as well on the platform. Maybe I will take that route twice a week.

But how much did I play? One tournament. Entry fee $25. In my head a saw myself snipping a chip to pay that entrance. Duration was 2 hours 7 minutes. Late regged four hours after the start. Spoiler, didn't finish as the first place which would have been 1k. So I'm still struggeling to find 6 hours continous time to play poker. Won $80.84 in prize money and bounties which is a profit of $55.84. Which means for the first time I'm over the starting bankroll. Winning tournament player! And of course at a new peak.

Edit:
:Qx::Qx:
:Ax::Kx::Jx:
Forgot to write something about this. Maybe this way I won't forget it next time.

Summary
1 Tournament
+ $55.84
$1243.23

Won 50 in the raffle, got 100 spins as cash back makes a total of + $420.29 within two weeks. And the next reporting is due next week. Hopefully I can stack further profits on top of it and rake in some more gains. 8.8% of the needed amounts or in 23 additional weeks. Which would be 6th od December.

Started to write a filter for my JSON files. But unfortunately you only can say that you were successful in a task when you had set the goals before hands. If I have ['AKs','AQs','JJ'] and filter for 'JJ' do I want to copy all three or only 'JJ'? Which leads me to believe that I need also to add a qualifier like union, difference, intersection maybe even symmetric difference. That sounds like fun!

But yes, $420 after taxes is a motivation boost! I guess I have to look already for free hotel rooms in September.

a^b = e^(b*ln(a))
In case you are on an odd calculator that has e^x and ln(x) functions but no x^y key.

Have my spaced repetition tool finally in a working condition! The only thing missing is to decide how the rules will. Add 1 when it's right. But should I reset it to 0 if it was wrong or just -2 to go two steps back. And how much should the expontential increase be for each time I was correct?

Amazing how many mistakes add up when you begin to quizz all hands in random order.

Summary
44 Tournaments
+ $328.12
$1571.35

Today's sponsor brought us What's the real difference between No Limit and PLO?

the "para" or "meta" TLDR: I guess the most important question for people who almost want to watch a 46minutes video is when will GTOWizard for PLO finally be released?!

There response is PLO is on their long-term roadmap.
But first they want to solve multi-way, multi-way preflop, ICM and ICM post flop. Because to solve these they need to abstract boards (simplifications). Which they will be able to use to build a PLO tool. Yes, I fully understand where they are trapped.

The most surprising part in the video was ACR reshuffle. Advertising and praise ACR that they try something against collusion really was something.

My recovery process has abrupted two weeks ago. It was so bad that I couldn't really sit in a way that made it possible to work continously. Standing wasn't an option either. This of course had a bad impact on my mood. The good news is, now for a week, with the adjustments I made, it got much better again. I think I'm at a level beyond two weeks. Last three days I began to walk again. Next step is to add again poker into my schedule.

Summary
1 Tournament
- $27.00
$1544.35

In response to Can ChatGPT play Pocket Jacks?

At 16:39 (direct link because timestamp doesn't work when the video is embedded) the author of the video is playing in the casino in Prague using ChatGPT vision.

I guess most people already have seen this because youtube has recommended this video to me on multiple occasions. And my taste isn't as deep as a rabbit hole. But I still wanted to share it because I know now again I should play in casinos instead online. Travel around and play in different locations.

Becaus something I learned today as well was the the quote by G.K. Chesterton:

"When everything about a people is for the time growing weak and ineffective, it begins to talk about efficiency. So it is that when a man's body is a wreck he begins, for the first time, to talk about health. Vigorous organisms talk not about their processes, but about their aims."

So I need to have bigger goals. Bigger than just get healthy but what I want to accomplish when I'm healthy. I need to think big! Much bigger dimensions!

In response to Poker Basics - BB/100

When I grew up BB were big bets and bb big blinds. The current time is amazing. Cancel all history to resell us old things as new - as a subscription. With promised features and then never deliver.

Hopefully the new season of High Stakes Poker will be more pleasant.

GGPoker buys the World Series of Poker

Caesars will continue to host the World Series of Poker from its properties for the next 20 years. Caesars will also host WSOP-C events across the globe.

So basically GGPoker bought the right to exclusively advertise for the next 20 years at the WSOP events? While all the know-how stays at the Caesars Entertainment. Maybe they also secured that Scheinberg never ever will be introduced to the hall of fame. How much is the IP WSOP worth in 20 years? Feels like pokerstrategy's partner WPT is on a good trajectory to overtake.

At least we finally can have two brands clashing against each other. In one corner Ethan Rampage Yau. In the other one Greg All-in Liow.

Finally managed to walk more than 10k steps again. It doesn't feel as bad having done nothing when you were outside doing instead sitting inside and doing nothing.
Then I want develop a mobile app. Under Ubuntu. Only have to decide between three options. But I guess this time I will learn the most sellable skill instead of the niche option. The heat wave is in the past as well. Time to find new excuses!

Summary
4 Tournaments
- $4.32
$1540.03

Finally managed to walk more than 10k steps again. It doesn't feel as bad having done nothing when you were outside doing instead sitting inside and doing nothing.
Then I want develop a mobile app. Under Ubuntu.

Right now, for the month of August, I have a daily average of 10k steps! There are still situations where I feel pain and I don't dare to exercise. But being able to walk this many steps within 24 hours is a great success.

May I present to you the crown of the noble numbat

Did look up the tournament schedule for next month at a casino 3 hours away. They now offer now PLO 1/1. I can afford that! But I can't afford a 6 hours commute. Maybe if I work 2 hours on each way... The dream of one day grinding it up to PLO 10/10 or even 50/50 is still so far away.

But first I have to get back into a daily grind online.

[ ] study 20 minutes
[ ] study 20 minutes
[ ] play 4 tournaments

Unforunately I have to fake it or at least pivot a little and add jackpot sng.

I complained a lot about not having enough time. Apparently it's not only a me problem. Numbers from the UK showed hat between 2020 and 2023 the daily average of free time decreased three quarters of an hour down to 3 hours 44 minutes which more than half of it is spent on tv (I guess any form of streaming is included as well). And I can't blame them. Yes it looks wastefule but most other activities need more energy. How many memes are out there of reading a page and not comprehending anything. Feels bad. Napping during a commercial break not as bad.

Even worse it gets when you live in the United States. 4.5 hours of spare time - a week.

I wrote earlier that I might want add cash games to get some practice in or variety. But I feel obliged to study there a lot as well. So instead I start at the bottom of the jackpot sng to get a little HU and very little ICM to my study. Luckily I alreay wrote an ICM calculator earlier. [thread.php?postid=3466864#post3466864"]ICM-calculator]

I need to be consistent in putting my opponent on a range. In similar enough spots on time I said "can't have an ace; wouldn't play this way" while the second time "must have an ace, it's a clear trap". Unfortunnately not a fancy way for mixed strategy. Just what was convenient for my bias how to play this spot right away.

10 minutes of short stack shorthanded tournaments I should manage to get into my day. Sometimes I wish poker was addictive and would suppress the daily rut.

Luck or Skill?

3-handed game the expected result for each finish place would be N/3 where N is the number of totally played games.

For each place we actually achieved we subtract the expected number and square it. Then divide it by expected number again.

(1st place - N/3)^2 / ( N/3)

Or easier 3×(1st place - N/3)^2 / N

Then we sum the result for each place and get the so called Chi squared value.

Because we have 3 places the degree of freedom is two. There are tables to look up the p-value. In this case if Chi Squared is 5.991 or bigger we can assume the result wouldn't be just random but because of our skill level. Lack of skill when losing money or successful study when we won money. My Chi squared is zero. Perfectly randomly distributed...

1600 games to being statistically breakeven

Summing up the all prize pool multiplicator that are 1% ore more likely. This covers 99.9099% of all games.

P = Σ probabilities = 99.9099%

sum up all multiplicator * probability / P to receive the average buyins to win. Which is 2.76254

B = Σ factor * prob / P = 2.76254 (buy-ins)

Needed Winrate. For each game we would need to win 1 buy-in bur we only get a prize pool of 2.76254. Thats 36.2%

WR = 1/B = 36.2%

χ² = (N/3 - WR*N)^2 / 3 / N + (2N/3 - (1-WR) * N) ^2 / 3 *2 / N > 5.991

Which leads to N at least 1600.

1600 spins are needed to decide if the break even is actually due to skill.

Summary
18 Tournaments
- $40.00
$1500.03

Consistent (getting always the same results) when analyzing a hand. The result (reasoning) shouldn't change when we change our hand on the flop (I guess within the range) or the river card.

Begin analyzing a hand with a timer. Being able to speak out loudly everything necessary within 30 seconds.

That are the two advices I can recollect from the last advertisement videos I watched.

Of course for October I already have a silly idea. Hopefully till then I have forgotten it!

Yesterday I learned that most ambitious (or players that post hands and discuss) mostlikely playing too aggressive. Apparently there is some sort of cognitive bias. This means if you don't bet as big as the average poker post suggest you might still be on a very good path!

Because with lower bet sizes you can tap into a psychological aspect and the body feedback.

every additional written character makes me unhappy, as I have the feeling now, it begins to switch the intention of the post and I'm trying to bring myself over instead

Grabbed an old script, adjusted it and tried it with the cash game ranges in
[2024 BEGINNER'S GUIDE]Simple modern strategies to beat the lowest stakes online

If I understood it correctly I have Hero range BU opening and as Villain CALL VS STEAL ONLY.

There are 1712304 boards. This means there are 163484 different heads-up combinations.

The total number is 279.9 billions.

Working calculator ... check!