Another hero call....
I played a live cash game tonight after work, and after two hours at a crazy table this hand came up.
The game is €1/2. I have about €200, maybe a little less. The game is loose, particularly the player two seats to my left, who is a LAG fish. He has been lucky so far, hitting several flops hard and was up to around 700 from his initial 50 buy in.
Each time he flopped the nuts (two sets and a straight), he played very aggressively leading or raising. He overbet frequently, and even moved all in out of turn with the nut straight.
In the hand immediately prior to this one, he lost half his stack when someone slow played KK preflop, and flopped a set.
So back to the hand in question, I was dealt AQh in CO
Three players limp for 2, I raise to 15, the LAG SB calls, as do the Limper's. I have position.
The flop is A56 all spades. I do not have a spade. We all check the flop.
Turn is K diamond. SB checks, limper bets 25 into a pot of 60. Two folds, I call. SB looks at his hand and back at the board, then makes it 75. Limper folds, we are HU. At this point, here is my thought process:
AK: this player 3bets preflop almost 100%
Other 2 pair: unlikely but possible. Probably raise more than 1/4 pot
Sets: probably lead turn, probably raise more than 1/4 pot
Small flushes (87, JT etc) probably lead turn, probably raise more than 1/4 pot
I can't shake the feeling that this guy has the naked K of spades here a lot, and is attacking mine and the Limper's passive play so far. I feel like villain has the nuts or is semibluffing, so I call.
River is A diamond and villain goes all in. I have around €100 and pot is around €235.
Are you ever calling?
I think this is a big leak in my game. I tend to overly focus on a tiny part of my opponents range (usually the part I want him to have) and ignore the rest.
