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Making a living with STT SNGs

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ghaleon
Joined: 17.10.2007
BlackMember

I think I have not talked of EV in HM2 or PT4. I have not heard it would not work.

There is quite lot of work to check how ICM affects in different spots. E.g. it can feel weird to make call with 55 as big stack versus another big stack shoving in bubble. Still it will often show big profit when sure of villain being on very wide range.

Example situation from couple days ago:

Spoiler

PokerStars Hand #119231955415: Tournament #943016820, $95.86+$4.14 USD Hold'em No Limit - Level XIII (250/500) - 2014/07/25 14:24:41 ET
Table '943016820 1' 10-max Seat #3 is the button
Seat 2: Drogbaaaaaaa (4580 in chips)
Seat 3: Samoroginij1 (3320 in chips)
Seat 4: butterZiii (1760 in chips)
Seat 6: JarppeK (3980 in chips)
Seat 7: nikolay27685 (835 in chips)
Seat 9: holi33 (525 in chips)
Drogbaaaaaaa: posts the ante 60
Samoroginij1: posts the ante 60
butterZiii: posts the ante 60
JarppeK: posts the ante 60
nikolay27685: posts the ante 60
holi33: posts the ante 60
butterZiii: posts small blind 250
JarppeK: posts big blind 500
HOLE CARDS
Dealt to JarppeK [5d 5c]
nikolay27685: folds
holi33: folds
Drogbaaaaaaa: raises 4020 to 4520 and is all-in
Samoroginij1: folds
butterZiii: folds
JarppeK: calls 3420 and is all-in
Uncalled bet (600) returned to Drogbaaaaaaa
FLOP [7s 8d Ts]
TURN [7s 8d Ts] [Qd]
RIVER [7s 8d Ts Qd] [Kd]
SHOW DOWN
JarppeK: shows [5d 5c] (a pair of Fives)
Drogbaaaaaaa: shows [3h 3c] (a pair of Threes)
JarppeK collected 8450 from pot
SUMMARY
Total pot 8450 | Rake 0
Board [7s 8d Ts Qd Kd]
Seat 2: Drogbaaaaaaa showed [3h 3c] and lost with a pair of Threes
Seat 3: Samoroginij1 (button) folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 4: butterZiii (small blind) folded before Flop
Seat 6: JarppeK (big blind) showed [5d 5c] and won (8450) with a pair of Fives
Seat 7: nikolay27685 folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 9: holi33 folded before Flop (didn't bet)

If checking situation with HRC and having FGS with 2 hands:

CO shoving: 92.1%, 22+ Tx+ 92s+ 94o+ 82s+ 84o+ 72s+ 74o+ 62s+ 63o+ 5x+ 42s+ 43o 32s

BB call: 32.8%, 44+ Ax+ K4s+ K7o+ Q8s+ Q9o+ J9s+ JTo. 55 is +1.84% call at that point. BE range for 55 would be CO shoving around 55% I am certain this reg was capable to shove more than that.

Kind of funny side is SB calling range versus CO shove: 7.8%, 77+ ATs+ AJo+ KQs


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tonypmm
Joined: 11.01.2009
Oldschool Grinder

That's a great observation! The dynamics between big stacks is closer to winner-takes-all / cash-game because the fixed (1 BI) part of the prize is relatively smaller in comparison with the part proportional to the stack sizes. Also, the stacks are really short in the hand: taking the antes into account, the chipleader has ~6 'bb' (i.e. M~4).

SB's narrow calling range is explained by that you can overcall almost as loose as in a WTA - to strip you of the prize, SB then has to beat 2 people in the main pot and pray for CO to beat you in the side pot.

P.S. Congrats to all Serbs on their country's victory in the 2014 Men's European Water Polo Championship!


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mylove190207
Joined: 10.04.2011
PokerStrategist

Originally posted by IvicaIliev77
Wednesday or day after tomorrow is something I can't wait to happen! Partizan Belgrade is playing away vs Ludogorec , team from Bulgaria. We meet with them in CL qualifier last year but lost and had huge problems in the team + people leading the team. This year we have a bit more experienced team with Drincic and Lazovic while Bulgarian side is having problems scoring goals (last 3 games they haven't scored). I am hopping Partizan will trash them 2-3 : 0 away and in Belgrade another one like that. Even tough they are more expensive and quality team on the paper, believe Partizan has what it takes this year to create an upset! So very excited to watch that game + 7 days later go to Belgrade and watch it live :)

It seems that Bezjak is not in the shape right now. And you definitely remember him from last year ;)
So this is chance for Partizan to win. It will be great game since both teams play attacking football.
Oh and I hope Branko Ilic would be good purchase for Partizan, but I never like him too much. Have some good games for Slovenia national team and still he didn`t convince me. I am always scared when he is in central back.


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I will go with the same prediction from last year Partizan will score 0 goals in two games


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IvicaIliev77 Topic starter
IvicaIliev77
Joined: 31.05.2012
PokerStrategist

Originally posted by mylove190207

It seems that Bezjak is not in the shape right now. And you definitely remember him from last year ;)
So this is chance for Partizan to win. It will be great game since both teams play attacking football.
Oh and I hope Branko Ilic would be good purchase for Partizan, but I never like him too much. Have some good games for Slovenia national team and still he didn`t convince me. I am always scared when he is in central back.

Ah yes he was very good last year we meet!

I expect them to play really well but Partizan with Drincic is totally different. Also this team doesn't have place for Sasa Ilic for 90 minutes which is good. Instead we have Drincic and Brasanac holding central midfield, on the wings we have Zivkovic who is new Lazar Markovic (just signed for Liverpool 25mil 2 weeks ago or so) and Pantic/Ninkovic. Pantic got injured vs Bulgaria on U19 championship couple of days ago so he will be away 2 months most likely. That leaves Ninkovic or Sasa Ilic to play on that side. Occasionally Predrag Luka or Djape Kalu (reversed) enters when Nikolic decides to rotate the squad.

Attack is strong with Lazovic and Skuletic. Lazovic is capable of scoring any time any place. Skuletic is great with scoring headers but his problem is that he wastes like 3-4 chances before scoring. That is just too many for the CL qualifiers. We also have Beko Fofana who is quick and for some reason is not playing at all (was sick, had some serious health problems paused for half session). We have Nemanja Kojic who was out 3+ months due to injury, got back for derby game scored a goal then scored 5 more goals in 2 games and got injured again!!!

Defense is our worse part of the team and I was honestly hoping that Slovenian veteran Ilic would make a difference. We have Vojislav Stankovic who scored penalty in Brussels vs Anderlecht and took us to CL group stage. That is all he ever did for Partizan, he is prone to make huge mistakes. We have Trajkovic who got signed from Vojvodina last season. He is strong, good with jumping and clearing headers but also slow. Any faster player who plays wing or attacker will make a fool out of him. We had Obradovic who was 36 but was fastest among all the guys playing central back!!! He just signed for OFK Belgrade day or two ago. We have Vladimir Volkov who plays left back. He is in Partizan for 3-4 seasons already and only when he arrived showed potential that he could play well. His crosses were good and that was about it. He can't dribble anyone 1vs1, his speed has decreased and he is constantly late to cover his side when in transition (when opposing team attacks us back, on counter attack or regular). So I really don't like him and hope they will finally sell him, bring some better or even use younger player who will work his ass off for the team like Nemanja Petrovic who doesn't get enough chance. We have Miroslav Vulicevic who also got signed from Vojvodina last season. He is one of the key players in our squad with Lazovic, Drincic and Lukac (goalkeeper). He does everything Volkov is supposed to do and more. We have Ostojic who is young and plays full back but was out of the field for 6 or so months due to injury (so out of the team, trainings and form currently).

Goalkeeper position Lukac who is superstar (national team caliber, saved 2 penalties vs Red Star in last derby etc) and Zivkovic who is decent substitute. We had Vladimir Stojkovic (ex Red Star captain) who is also excellent keeper but he signed for Makabi Haifa where our ex amazing coach is at (Aleksandar Stanojevic who got us to CL group stage vs Anderlecht super stars!).

So when I lay it all like this you can see that we have good and bad sides , like every team.
Our attack needs one more player as Lazovic is negotiating with other clubs (has that clause in his contract that can leave club at any time if his conditions are meet). That player is supposed to be some foreign guy but I believe that is on hold until Lazovic makes up his mind.
Midfield needs maybe one more player to cover the left side in case Ninkovic has swingy season again or Zivkovic gets injured.
Defense needs minimum 2 players more. Ilic arrived but will probably need time to adjust to team. We need to get rid of the Volkov, bring better player there. We need basically 2 really got center backs - one young and perspective and one old school with headers and excellent positioning. If Ilic will be great at center back then we need one more guy to play with him + somebody to substitute Volkov and we are all set!

Bulgarian team is strong in every line + has strong bench. We don't have strong bench and any injury can cost us deeply in this coming matches vs them.

Finally I hope coach will go all out in the 1st away game, get the best team out there and play offensive football. I am sick of watching Serbian teams playing away like by defending 70% of the time, rest of the time lets do some counter attack and try to score. That stadium where they play takes 6000 people. That is nothing compared to what Partizan Belgrade are used to playing in front so atmosphere should not be any problem.

As you can tell, I really look forward to this duel which will answer a lot of questions about Partizan Belgrade squad and depth.

Now heading to CrossFit , enjoy the day on and off the tables :)


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IvicaIliev77 Topic starter
IvicaIliev77
Joined: 31.05.2012
PokerStrategist

Before I leave, I leave you with IvicaIliev77 video! Wish Partizan brought him back again, he would do wonders in attack!!!


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IvicaIliev77 Topic starter
IvicaIliev77
Joined: 31.05.2012
PokerStrategist

This one voted as one of the best, if not the best goals in FK Partizan Belgrade history.
Scored by Ivica Iliev of course

If time stamp doesn't work here, go to 1:40 exactly, it is the 3rd goal scored.

Some extra info for Tony - Danko Lazovic played with Ivica Iliev in this fantastic team with Zvonimir Vukic, Sasa Ilic, Milivoje Cirkovic and guys alike 2002 season , 12 years ago :)


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177272
Joined: 29.07.2013
PokerStrategist

Hi I,

What is the latest on Coaching badge here? Is it happening or just partial involvement. Watched your video again today and enjoyed and learnt a little more this visit, a lot to take in but you make it easier than it could be.

Thanks for posting it.


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IvicaIliev77 Topic starter
IvicaIliev77
Joined: 31.05.2012
PokerStrategist

Originally posted by 177272
Hi I,

What is the latest on Coaching badge here? Is it happening or just partial involvement. Watched your video again today and enjoyed and learnt a little more this visit, a lot to take in but you make it easier than it could be.

Thanks for posting it.

Hi Steve,

It should happen in the near future. We are still in negotiation process :) Hopefully it will all work out in the end!

The most important thing is that you watched the video again and learned some new things from it!

Hope to do another one in August - will keep you in the loop for sure.


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Ramble
Joined: 17.11.2008
PokerStrategist

Originally posted by IvicaIliev77
This one voted as one of the best, if not the best goals in FK Partizan Belgrade history.
Scored by Ivica Iliev of course

If time stamp doesn't work here, go to 1:40 exactly, it is the 3rd goal scored.

One of best goals, quickly followed by one of worst celebration dances ever :P :P :P


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177272
Joined: 29.07.2013
PokerStrategist

Morning,

Some time ago you offered to look at some problem HH for me, any chance you can give me some feedback on this one.

Background. The 45 man group I was working with have mainly moved to 6 max hypers and I have decided to have a little look at these as they could suit my current work situation. Given that I can fit an hour of these in every now and then and that I feel they are a good learning tool for constructing ranges and the like which will be useful for any format.

So I have no experience of them (or very little) and whilst reviewing some HH with the group this one came up for universal condemnation (a little strong I know but basically everybody hated my play:) )

Poker Stars, $1.40 Buy-in (50/100 blinds, 10 ante) No Limit Hold'em Tournament, 3 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: 1,471 (14.7 bb)
Hero (BB): 1,063 (10.6 bb)
BTN: 466 (4.7 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BB with 8 A
BTN folds, SB raises to 200, Hero raises to 1,053 and is all-in, SB calls 853

Flop: (2,136) 7 5 4 (2 players, 1 is all-in)
Turn: (2,136) J (2 players, 1 is all-in)
River: (2,136) T (2 players, 1 is all-in)

Results: 2,136 pot
Final Board: 7 5 4 J T
SB showed 7 7 and won 2,136 (1,073 net)
Hero showed 8 A and lost (-1,063 net)

My thought in game was, the big stack would raise me as 2nd stack with a fairly wide range and that a reshove would get through most of the time, if called was I always in too bad of a state? If my mistake was as big as the group think i need to get it in my head why it is if i am to learn from it. I think the general consensus was because we had a short stack ICM made it a fold? I would value your opinion. I am sure we can still play poker in these and that it is not all just push or fold.

Also what would you say are the fundamental differences between Turbo's and Hypers, is it predominantly Variance?

Keep well sir.

Steve


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IvicaIliev77 Topic starter
IvicaIliev77
Joined: 31.05.2012
PokerStrategist

Originally posted by Ramble

Originally posted by IvicaIliev77
This one voted as one of the best, if not the best goals in FK Partizan Belgrade history.
Scored by Ivica Iliev of course

If time stamp doesn't work here, go to 1:40 exactly, it is the 3rd goal scored.

One of best goals, quickly followed by one of worst celebration dances ever :P :P :P

After someone scores goal like that celebration is least I care about tbh :P


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IvicaIliev77 Topic starter
IvicaIliev77
Joined: 31.05.2012
PokerStrategist

Originally posted by 177272
Morning,

Some time ago you offered to look at some problem HH for me, any chance you can give me some feedback on this one.

Background. The 45 man group I was working with have mainly moved to 6 max hypers and I have decided to have a little look at these as they could suit my current work situation. Given that I can fit an hour of these in every now and then and that I feel they are a good learning tool for constructing ranges and the like which will be useful for any format.

So I have no experience of them (or very little) and whilst reviewing some HH with the group this one came up for universal condemnation (a little strong I know but basically everybody hated my play:) )

Poker Stars, $1.40 Buy-in (50/100 blinds, 10 ante) No Limit Hold'em Tournament, 3 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: 1,471 (14.7 bb)
Hero (BB): 1,063 (10.6 bb)
BTN: 466 (4.7 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BB with 8 A
BTN folds, SB raises to 200, Hero raises to 1,053 and is all-in, SB calls 853

Flop: (2,136) 7 5 4 (2 players, 1 is all-in)
Turn: (2,136) J (2 players, 1 is all-in)
River: (2,136) T (2 players, 1 is all-in)

Results: 2,136 pot
Final Board: 7 5 4 J T
SB showed 7 7 and won 2,136 (1,073 net)
Hero showed 8 A and lost (-1,063 net)

My thought in game was, the big stack would raise me as 2nd stack with a fairly wide range and that a reshove would get through most of the time, if called was I always in too bad of a state? If my mistake was as big as the group think i need to get it in my head why it is if i am to learn from it. I think the general consensus was because we had a short stack ICM made it a fold? I would value your opinion. I am sure we can still play poker in these and that it is not all just push or fold.

Also what would you say are the fundamental differences between Turbo's and Hypers, is it predominantly Variance?

Keep well sir.

Steve

Morning Steve,

Of course you can post hands here, I will try to help you out anytime I can.
This particular hand can be very tricky but I will try to brake down my thinking process with questions for you that should help you come to answers on your own.

1) How much % do you think opponent is raising here?
2) Does he ever have raise folding range here for 10 and 5bb effective?
3) How much % of his range are Ax hands, how much PPs , how much Kx , how much others?
4) In vacuum without any reads, do you ever expect CL to have raise fold range here from button?
5) Do you have any specific reads on that CL? Is he aggressive, opening BTN wide in bubble not letting you play BVB vs SS? Or maybe this is 2nd BTN he opened in past 10 BTNs???
6) Is CL opponent who is ICM aware? What does he put you on when you 3 bet him as MID stack? Is he capable of making big folds and r/calling very tight vs you?
7) What does your FGS (future game simulation) look like in that game? Are you getting CL to fold BTNs; does he give you frequent walks BVB; does SS have super tight calling range BVB; is SS shoving every hand BVB into CL or is very passive? etc

We can start with vacuum and general expectations.
I never expect CL to have R/fold range here. Since we are in vacuum I don't expect opponent to open here Q10s :) I always expect any CL to have here Ax type of hands + PPs and maybe some Kx like K10+. When it comes to PPs I expect CL to r/call stronger PPs such as 77-88-99+ and the rest to do open shove with (capped range and predictable). Most likely he will do the same with smaller Ax (open shove) and only min raise with stronger ones.

Now when we know this vacuum range, we can try to answer next key questions - how much does the opponent fold to 3 bet vs MID stack? Is CL aware of ICM , your role as 2nd stack, does he understand your perceived 3 bet range and how will he act based on all this?
All this can be very tricky to answer because we are playing a guessing game! If we go and say its 1.5$ game, then by default we should say that opponents are pretty loose and not aware of ICM. This automatically means that those guys are not capable of raise/folding vs MID stack and that their gap between raising and folding practically doesn't exist.

Knowing these things, you should always 3 bet shove as MID stack here very tight!
How tight? Use Holdem Resources Calculator to check for 45 mans payout structure as it will influence the range a lot. You need to input 3 things only here!
1) What range do you think CL is min raising here?
2) What range is he raise/calling vs you and vs SS?
3) What range is SS over calling 3 way here (based on your expectation in vacuum if no reads) ?

HRC will give you the right answer. I don't play 45 mans so telling stuff like JJ+ AKs or 99+ AQs+ or 88+ AJ+ would not be correct.

I can tell you one thing. These spots I studied and analyzed in HRC a lot. Also I think a lot of regs in today's games even on higher limits make mistakes here as MID stack. So it is good to see that you had questions for interesting hand and very common spot that burns money for MID stacks.

Understanding dynamic of the bubble (3 players in 6 max is bubble in 45 man is different of course) is crucial to getting ITM. Thinking about how opponent plays from BTN, BVB, how he plays BB, how much do they defend to 3 bet, how much do they 3 bet nai, how much do they 3 bet all in, how much do they have fold pre flop vs BTN or BVB and finally what happens as number of blinds increase or decrease? If with all this you also have history with players you play, then it should be much easier to adjust to their tendencies. Without any reads or in vacuum it takes a lot of experience, HH analyzing and building ranges from actual games and live opponents.
Eventually it all clicks and you become very fluent in any spot and in any stack setup vs any type of opponent.

This is probably one of the hardest things that people who play SNGs have to learn and it takes them longest. Once this is in place, they can "relax" and get more ITM % regardless of card distribution.

Final things about this particular spot what I would do in future

- Always 3 bet shove super tight here as you have huge risk aversion from CL and have SS who is your enemy here
- If CL is crushing you in FGS simulation, only then you should look into extending your range. Here I prefer calling BVB CL wider and doubling up then messing it up with SB 3 bet vs his BTN min raise why - because CL will shove close to or ATC into BB so I can lower a bit my equity for the sake of doubling up and assuring myself to enter HU.
- If SS is crazy in calls BVB vs us the above becomes even more important!

Finally your question about 6 max hypers vs 6 max turbos differences:

- 6 max hypers have very shallow stacks and only couple blind depths
- 6 max turbo has 75bb , 50bb , 30bb , and 15bb or less blinds so in that sense you can do more post flop, more pre flop dynamics, more 3-4-5 bet, more learning about board structures vs your and opponents percieved range
- 6 max hypers have those micro stack ICM studies with ante
- 6 max turbos you will rarely get to bubble or 4 people where avg stack size is 7 or 8bb (so ICM is somewhat easier for turbos)
- 6 max hypers plays every wannabe SNE person who hopes to be BE and earn 100k $ a year , they also burn out very fast and their space for improvement hits sealing very quick when they eventually realize that table selecting for SNE is a dream cause every year new 10-15-30 regs infest their games and lower their expected win rate while they don't know/have where to look for edges
- 6 max turbos plays everyone and the advantages here are amazing - you learn to play properly pre flop understanding how to construct balance your ranges and understand all the opponents ranges and how they construct them; you learn post flop because you have space to do so; you learn SOLID ICM which since everybody plays turbos you already will have edge in ICM alone; you have space to exploit and crush opponents in bubble; finally you have space to play HU like HU hypers which leaves a lot of space for pre and post flop dominating instead of just getting it.

Overall my opinion is that 6 max turbos take far more to master then 6 max hypers but also once you master them you can expect to have huge edge over the field in any area. 6 max hypers don't allow you huge edge anywhere + there aren't many areas to begin with!
So if you ask me 6 max turbos or 6 max hypers - always 6 max turbo here!

And yes, variance is more brutal in 6 max hypers because of everything I already mentioned above!

Hope all this helped somewhat Steve.

Have to leave now but let me know if you got any extra questions!

Pedja


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177272
Joined: 29.07.2013
PokerStrategist

Wow just wow, i am exhausted just reading that. Once again I feel guilty asking you and effectively giving you more work to do. I have never come across anyone more giving than you, you have my deepest admiration.

I will have to read that half a dozen times for it to sink it, but I hope many others gain from my question too.

Thank you again Sir.

(BTW this was a 6 Max Hyper)


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ghaleon
Joined: 17.10.2007
BlackMember

In your hand 177272 most important things are his opening range for minraise, understanding of ICM and overall opponent type.

With those I mean simple fact that SB as chip lead versus clear second stack can shove any2 profitably even if you call too wide.

with FGS we get these:

SB: Any2
BB: 6.6%, 77+ ATs+ AQo+

For 72o to be unprofitable shove for SB you need to call almost 20% of hands. Which never happens if BB has some understanding of ICM. Also even player who has never heard of ICM will often be bit tighter than that as he does understand somewhat that he does not want to drop out now.

So in practice SB can very profitably shove any2. Most important question then is how does SB approach this situation? If we assume he is mostly shoving then this minraise should alarm our bells a lot. Because why he minraises if he can shove 72o with huge profits? Logical answer is that he wants to induce action with premium hand.

Now some player approach can still be to minraise wide and that does open option for BB to resteal. If we have reads that SB abuses stack situations heavily and does it with minraise then A8o is mandatory shove. At least if he doesnt do absurd calls also.

So overall without good reads we should definitely stay tight in this spot.

For villain 77 raise-call line I would heavily question it. E.g. as shove with you caling 6.6% 77 will be +2.16% If he minraises it and you shove 27.6%, 22+ Ax+ K7s+ KTo+ Q9s+ QJo J9s+ T9s then 77 as induce hand is +2.24%

If A8o is bottom of your range, e.g. you shove 18.4%, 55+ A2s+ A8o+ K9s+ KQo Q9s+ QJo J9s+ T9s then 77 induce will show -0.01%

So for 77 to be good induce BB need to be restealing very wide. Plus if BB happens to call SB will not be jumping out of joy that often postflop.


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IvicaIliev77 Topic starter
IvicaIliev77
Joined: 31.05.2012
PokerStrategist

Originally posted by 177272
Wow just wow, i am exhausted just reading that. Once again I feel guilty asking you and effectively giving you more work to do. I have never come across anyone more giving than you, you have my deepest admiration.

I will have to read that half a dozen times for it to sink it, but I hope many others gain from my question too.

Thank you again Sir.

(BTW this was a 6 Max Hyper)

You welcome Steve

I did you whole analysis as SB vs BTN CL but everything I said with questions you can use with BVB approach also.

GL with hypers buddy !


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177272
Joined: 29.07.2013
PokerStrategist

TY very much for the detailed reply Sir.

A more basic response. We surely do not expect players at this level to be thinking any way like that so how much can we compensate for this in game at this level. I felt that SB could fold a lot or I would not have shoved, if he had QTo in that spot he could fold. I personally might try to steal in his shoes but again this is probably wrong.

I have not played many games in these but the few I have I have seen some wild plays (mine is clearly falling into that category :) ).

I accept we need/want to play correctly but can we do that when players at this level are so random, or should we be saying because they are so random all the more reason to play correctly. Hope my point makes sense.

Thanks again, much appreciated.


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177272
Joined: 29.07.2013
PokerStrategist

Logical answer is that he wants to induce action with premium hand

Where you surprised here that he shows up with 77 ?


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177272
Joined: 29.07.2013
PokerStrategist

Originally posted by ghaleon
In your hand 177272 most important things are his opening range for minraise, understanding of ICM and overall opponent type.

With those I mean simple fact that SB as chip lead versus clear second stack can shove any2 profitably even if you call too wide.

with FGS we get these:

SB: Any2
BB: 6.6%, 77+ ATs+ AQo+

For 72o to be unprofitable shove for SB you need to call almost 20% of hands. Which never happens if BB has some understanding of ICM. Also even player who has never heard of ICM will often be bit tighter than that as he does understand somewhat that he does not want to drop out now.

So in practice SB can very profitably shove any2. Most important question then is how does SB approach this situation? If we assume he is mostly shoving then this minraise should alarm our bells a lot. Because why he minraises if he can shove 72o with huge profits? Logical answer is that he wants to induce action with premium hand.

Now some player approach can still be to minraise wide and that does open option for BB to resteal. If we have reads that SB abuses stack situations heavily and does it with minraise then A8o is mandatory shove. At least if he doesnt do absurd calls also.

So overall without good reads we should definitely stay tight in this spot.

For villain 77 raise-call line I would heavily question it. E.g. as shove with you caling 6.6% 77 will be +2.16% If he minraises it and you shove 27.6%, 22+ Ax+ K7s+ KTo+ Q9s+ QJo J9s+ T9s then 77 as induce hand is +2.24%

If A8o is bottom of your range, e.g. you shove 18.4%, 55+ A2s+ A8o+ K9s+ KQo Q9s+ QJo J9s+ T9s then 77 induce will show -0.01%

So for 77 to be good induce BB need to be restealing very wide. Plus if BB happens to call SB will not be jumping out of joy that often postflop.

Sorry more love required the more I read it, thank you. Not sure any one can ever win a pot from you guys you have it all sewn up :)


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IvicaIliev77 Topic starter
IvicaIliev77
Joined: 31.05.2012
PokerStrategist

Originally posted by 177272
Logical answer is that he wants to induce action with premium hand

Where you surprised here that he shows up with 77 ?

I always expect 77 in r/calling range there BVB in bubble especially as CL. Even MID will do that vs any stack. Talking about general tendencies of course.

Also if CL knows anything, he will not min raise just to induce there but will also have r/folding range.

Assume that CL will play ATC but not by shoving but rather by r/calling 10% , r/folding 20-30% and open shoving 60-70%.
This calculations shows you that CL will BVB r/fold from 2 up to 3 times more then what he is ready to call you down with.
Simply put in percentages , if he calls down 1/3 of the time that means 66% he is r/folding, 1/4 of the time , 75% of the time he is raise folding.
This then leaves space for you to 3 bet shove as mid vs CL here even wider ;)

The other side of the story is if any MID stack knows this, he can exploit heavily CL bvb in this spot.
However if CL is any good player and knows that MID stack knows all this then he will adjust to MID by doing one of the following things:

1) Increasing r/calling range because MID will 3 bet shove wider based on previous expectations
2) Diminish r/fold range not to get exploited
3) Or if CL hasn't done homework for this will simply start shoving ATC here always and let MID make the mistake...

Either way, this is very interesting spot and as I said even for SB vs BTN Mid vs CL , BVB also has huge potential for exploating and again a lot of players on higher limits don't know this stuff yet - so you are all set for micro and low stakes if you learn this stuff right !


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