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Road From NL2 (LiamXii BR Challenge)

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LiamXii Topic starter
LiamXii
Joined: 06.06.2022
Poker Player

Originally posted by aleasy77
But another hands you should more raise sizing? Min raise isn't good idea for me because opponent get good odds for call.

Ive adopted this play style over the course of 85k hands so far and the win rate isnt too bad but now I'm moving up, I do think I need to adapt vastly. Excluding the decisions pre flop (which I know I need to change considerably), I still stand by my play post flop.


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LiamXii Topic starter
LiamXii
Joined: 06.06.2022
Poker Player
Session 44 - NL10 & NL16 - 25/09/22

Got a bit tired towards the end and was running into some good hands through sheer carelessness but happy I turned it back around, hopefully my downfall won't happen again. I think I'm gonna stick on NL10 until I get rid of my bad habits as its a good place to make sure I have a good tight aggressive mixture.

Profit: $45.67
Bankroll: $680.81

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Fredjen
Joined: 28.05.2008
Elite Grinder

For the mental part i seriously recommend 'the mental game of poker' it does wonders for my game in a lot more ways thinkable.
The 55 hand may not be the best spot but tha fact you placed it here is. Putting yourself out their and willing to question yourself is just so hard.... Keep it up mate


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LiamXii Topic starter
LiamXii
Joined: 06.06.2022
Poker Player

Originally posted by Fredjen
For the mental part i seriously recommend 'the mental game of poker' it does wonders for my game in a lot more ways thinkable.
The 55 hand may not be the best spot but tha fact you placed it here is. Putting yourself out their and willing to question yourself is just so hard.... Keep it up mate

Thanks for your suggestion. Think it is the mental aspect I'm lacking, thank you - I'll check it out


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LiamXii Topic starter
LiamXii
Joined: 06.06.2022
Poker Player
Session 44 - NL10 & NL16 - 25/09/22

Just constantly up and down. I cant remember the last time my AA or KK has won a hand to be honest. Very quite confident this is just pure bad luck. I'm gonna take a break and hopefully this up and down swing stops soon enough.

Spoiler

PokerStars - $0.16 NL - Holdem - 8 players
Hand converted by Holdem Manager 3

UTG+1: $16.24 (101.5 bb)
MP: $17.25 (107.8 bb)
MP+1: $23.04 (144 bb)
CO: $15.76 (98.5 bb)
BTN: $7.86 (49.1 bb)
SB: $15.60 (97.5 bb)
Hero (BB): $36.58 (228.6 bb)
UTG: $17.54 (109.6 bb)

SB posts $0.08, Hero posts BB $0.16

Pre Flop: (pot: $0.24) Hero has A♥: A♦:
UTG raises to $0.48, 4 folds, BTN calls $0.48, SB calls $0.40, Hero raises to $3.20, UTG calls $2.72, 2 folds

Flop: ($7.36, 2 players) J♠: 2♥: 9♥:
Hero bets $3.84, UTG calls $3.84

Turn: ($15.04, 2 players) 6♣:
Hero bets $7.20, UTG raises to $10.50 and is all-in, Hero calls $3.30

River: ($36.04, 2 players) 9♠:

Results: $36.04 pot ($1.50 rake)
Final Board: J♠: 2♥: 9♥: 6♣: 9♠:

Hero shows A♥: A♦:: (Two Pair, Aces and Nines)
(Pre 81%, Flop 13%, Turn 5%)

UTG shows 9♣: 9♦:: (Four of a Kind, Nines)
(Pre 19%, Flop 87%, Turn 95%)

UTG wins $34.54

Spoiler

PokerStars - $0.16 NL - Holdem - 9 players
Hand converted by Holdem Manager 3

BTN: $16.00 (100 bb)
Hero (SB): $17.07 (106.7 bb)
BB: $16.51 (103.2 bb)
UTG: $39.20 (245 bb)
UTG+1: $12.20 (76.3 bb)
MP: $36.88 (230.5 bb)
MP+1: $8.28 (51.8 bb)
MP+2: $26.35 (164.7 bb)
CO: $15.99 (99.9 bb)

Hero posts SB $0.08, BB posts $0.16

Pre Flop: (pot: $0.24) Hero has K♠: K♥:
5 folds, CO raises to $0.48, BTN raises to $1.44, Hero calls $1.36, 2 folds

Flop: ($3.52, 2 players) J♥: 3♥: 2♠:
Hero checks, BTN bets $1.11, Hero calls $1.11

Turn: ($5.74, 2 players) T♦:
Hero checks, BTN bets $7.44, Hero raises to $14.52 and is all-in, BTN calls $6.01 and is all-in

River: ($32.64, 2 players) T♣:

Players agreed to run it twice.

River #2: ($32.64, 2 players) 9♦:

Results: $32.64 pot ($0.00 rake)
Final Board: J♥: 3♥: 2♠: T♦: T♣: 9♦:

Hero shows K♠: K♥:: (Two Pair, Kings and Tens)
Board #1 : (Pre 82%, Flop 12%, Turn 5%)
(One Pair, Kings)
Board #2 : (Pre 82%, Flop 13%, Turn 5%)

BTN shows J♣: J♠:: (Full House, Jacks full of Tens)
Board #1 : (Pre 18%, Flop 88%, Turn 95%)
(Three of a Kind, Jacks)
Board #2 : (Pre 18%, Flop 87%, Turn 95%)

BTN wins $15.58

Mostly all my loses have been those who have hit lucky flops with their pocket pairs. I just refuse to believe people can get this lucky. I've played alot of hands so far in this journey and this has never happened to me at such a level like it has done recently. I'm quite surprised my loses aren't higher. I'm clearly gonna have to change how I play pocket pairs in the later stakes because I'm raising it too low pre flop. At this point I'd rather take down the pot pre flop than have to chance the rest of the hand now because clearly these pocket pairs aren't profitable when you raise them too low preflop for action.

Just to add salt on the wound, the guy made the four of a kind for his one card left and I can't ever make my two cards lol

Loses: $42.56
Bankroll: $634.25

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aleasy77
Joined: 03.03.2014
PokerStrategist

About mental, I catch nuts on flop and network connection failed... (on this spot and card turn can go all in ech)
https://ibb.co/CvfCPVF
Of course vs Russian must be this...
I don't like cold call 3bet on SB with kings, we get this better odds to call CO and in 3way action without position it is not comfortable post flop.


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Fredjen
Joined: 28.05.2008
Elite Grinder

Let me start by saving i like this blog and really appreciatie it you are putting yourself out their. But now is the time to step up. Aknowledge your EV line is going down and you are running above EV. Hit the books mental and theory. Don't take a break but try to understand how and why you feel this frustration aka tilt. This will be big step. I made it myself recently and it leads to a lot more work but hey i feel you're in it for the long run?


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LiamXii Topic starter
LiamXii
Joined: 06.06.2022
Poker Player

Originally posted by Fredjen
Let me start by saving i like this blog and really appreciatie it you are putting yourself out their. But now is the time to step up. Aknowledge your EV line is going down and you are running above EV. Hit the books mental and theory. Don't take a break but try to understand how and why you feel this frustration aka tilt. This will be big step. I made it myself recently and it leads to a lot more work but hey i feel you're in it for the long run?

Yes its a vicious downswing. I will hit the books and maybe take a short break to get my head back into the game. Thank you and yes in it for the long run for sure. I've gone too far in this to quit now
Hope youre going well too, really appericate your advice.

Thank you also Aleasy, those russians are sneaky haha


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aleasy77
Joined: 03.03.2014
PokerStrategist

I have too bad session on pokerstars, thanks no playable hands, in this spot I think about should bet on flop and turn. On my right I have maniac, only value hand vs him and limper on spot too in this hand:

PokerStars, Hold'em No Limit - $0.01/$0.02 - 6 players
Replay this hand on Upswing Poker - https://upswingpoker.com/replayer/5257bIWlI

Otavio NP (UTG): $2.06 (103 bb)
Dorkion (MP): $2.00 (100 bb)
gmers55 (CO): $2.00 (100 bb)
yellowmash2 (BU): $3.60 (180 bb)
XprC (SB): $3.52 (176 bb)
DMuzza1990 (BB): $2.09 (105 bb)

Pre-Flop: ($0.03) Hero (gmers55) is CO with T♥ K♥
2 players fold, gmers55 (CO) raises to $0.06, yellowmash2 (BU) calls $0.06, 1 fold, DMuzza1990 (BB) calls $0.04

Flop: ($0.19) T♣ 4♣ 8♣ (3 players)
DMuzza1990 (BB) checks, gmers55 (CO) bets $0.10, yellowmash2 (BU) calls $0.10, DMuzza1990 (BB) calls $0.10

Turn: ($0.49) 9♠ (3 players)
DMuzza1990 (BB) checks, gmers55 (CO) bets $0.24, yellowmash2 (BU) calls $0.24, DMuzza1990 (BB) calls $0.24

River: ($1.21) J♥ (3 players)
DMuzza1990 (BB) checks, gmers55 (CO) checks, yellowmash2 (BU) checks

Total pot: $1.21 (Rake: $0.04)

Showdown:
gmers55 (CO) shows T♥ K♥ (a pair of Tens)
(Equity - Pre-Flop: 41%, Flop: 38%, Turn: <1%, River: 0%)

DMuzza1990 (BB) shows 9♦ A♣ (a pair of Nines)
(Equity - Pre-Flop: 34%, Flop: 44%, Turn: 19%, River: 0%)

yellowmash2 (BU) shows 6♣ 7♠ (a straight, Seven to Jack)
(Equity - Pre-Flop: 25%, Flop: 18%, Turn: 81%, River: 100%)

yellowmash2 (BU) wins $1.17

Too hard give something good, but idiots who limp-raise and call all in preflop must catch lucky set or after fish call on button 82 gets two pairs.

Of course AK this time on tournament:
https://ibb.co/Fx9vxxy
So sick...


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LiamXii Topic starter
LiamXii
Joined: 06.06.2022
Poker Player
Session 45 - NL10 - 27/09/22

Okay maybe now I'm considering if I can handle carrying on with this challenge. Before today I had accumulated $330 from NL10. Surely thats not a fluke? I've now dwindled down to $175 from NL10. I wasn't tilted. I just played the same as I had done since I started NL10. It wasn't me playing the whole 8 hours, I did eat in between and stuff. I'm not tired. Every single decent hand I had hit, someone else had better, the whole time. Even the times where I was betting HARD to throw them off the hand, they would somehow get runner runner flush despite me betting hard to throw them off.

The premuim hands that I was getting... tight and aggressive right? I was just missing the whole time. At very best I'd get two pair and my world would get wrecked with someone hitting trips.
I even raised HIGH with KK and someone calls like 20bb with 78s and flops a straight? absolutely insane.
My pocket pairs dont hit whatsoever throughout the whole day.. Everytime I did have good hands, they were short stackers and gave me hardly anything.

YES, I made some mistakes but not enough to warrant this vast downswing. You can literally see that the graph didn't go up whatsoever significantly throughout the session. I wasn't massively tight as you can see from 25% - I think my range was just right. I've written down all the mistakes to avoid in the future but yeah down 15 Buy Ins. My PFR could have been better but thats due to the fact I didnt want to outright bluff you know? You cant be aggressive if you just missed the entire flop - thus the low PFR. You can see from my non showdown remaining the same that I was just purely being wrecked at showdown every single time.

I've just started university, so I think being at nearly $500 is fine, 50 buy ins for in the future but I think I need to concentrate on real life and take a short break, read some books to make sure I'm doing the right thing etc.

Sorry guys, hopefully I'll be back soon. gg

Loses: $155.01
Bankroll: $480.85


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aleasy77
Joined: 03.03.2014
PokerStrategist

I know this feeling. Did You Play 2500 hands yesterday? This mean that nothing work for You last day, maybe today is better.


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LiamXii Topic starter
LiamXii
Joined: 06.06.2022
Poker Player

Originally posted by aleasy77
I know this feeling. Did You Play 2500 hands yesterday? This mean that nothing work for You last day, maybe today is better.

Yes I played ALOT of hands.
Maybe I was dramatic last night. I don't take massive downswings very well but I'm actually chill today.

I'm not quitting haha, I've wrote down the lessons and I had a massive good run to get to that point, where I'm at right now is still pretty good despite this massive unlucky streak. It's continues today, my estimated EV line is gonna be insane soon enough


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LiamXii Topic starter
LiamXii
Joined: 06.06.2022
Poker Player
Spoiler

PokerStars - $0.10 NL - Holdem - 8 players
Hand converted by Holdem Manager 3

Hero (UTG): $21.10 (211 bb)
UTG+1: $25.20 (252 bb)
MP: $10.40 (104 bb)
MP+1: $10.06 (100.6 bb)
CO: $10.00 (100 bb)
BTN: $11.95 (119.5 bb)
SB: $9.24 (92.4 bb)
BB: $9.56 (95.6 bb)

SB posts $0.05, BB posts $0.10

Pre Flop: (pot: $0.15) Hero has A♥: A♣:
Hero raises to $0.33, 3 folds, CO calls $0.33, fold, SB raises to $1.20, fold, Hero raises to $4.00, fold, SB raises to $9.24 and is all-in, Hero calls $5.24

Flop: ($18.91, 2 players) Q♥: K♣: 9♠:

Turn: ($18.91, 2 players) 3♦:

River: ($18.91, 2 players) J♠:

Results: $18.91 pot ($0.85 rake)
Final Board: Q♥: K♣: 9♠: 3♦: J♠:

SB shows K♠: K♥:: (Three of a Kind, Kings)
(Pre 18%, Flop 90%, Turn 95%)

Hero shows A♥: A♣:: (One Pair, Aces)
(Pre 82%, Flop 10%, Turn 5%)

SB wins $18.06

I'm not even kidding you, I have not won an AA showdown since the start of my downswing.


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LiamXii Topic starter
LiamXii
Joined: 06.06.2022
Poker Player

Nope still in a downswing, I'll be back another day

Loses: $7.23
Bankroll: $473.53

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aleasy77
Joined: 03.03.2014
PokerStrategist

How your game? I really tired * like this:

PokerStars, Hold'em No Limit - $0.01/$0.02 - 6 players
Replay this hand on Upswing Poker - https://upswingpoker.com/replayer/1257grTfg

vendalinhy (UTG): $2.71 (136 bb)
AlexanderX88 (MP): $2.00 (100 bb)
Venice525 (CO): $1.76 (88 bb)
cyd13 (BU): $0.75 (38 bb)
gmers55 (SB): $2.00 (100 bb)
yosta710520 (BB): $4.07 (204 bb)

Pre-Flop: ($0.03) Hero (gmers55) is SB with A♣ K♥
vendalinhy (UTG) raises to $0.04, 1 fold, Venice525 (CO) 3-bets to $0.12, 1 fold, gmers55 (SB) 4-bets to $0.44, 1 fold, vendalinhy (UTG) 5-bets to $0.76, 1 fold, gmers55 (SB) 6-bets to $2 (all-in), vendalinhy (UTG) calls $1.24

Flop: ($4.14) T♥ J♠ Q♣ (2 players, 1 all-in)

Turn: ($4.14) T♦ (2 players, 1 all-in)

River: ($4.14) Q♥ (2 players, 1 all-in)

Total pot: $4.14 (Rake: $0.14)

Showdown:
gmers55 (SB) shows A♣ K♥ (a straight, Ten to Ace)
(Equity - Pre-Flop: 70%, Flop: 87%, Turn: 88%, River: 0%)

vendalinhy (UTG) shows Q♠ K♠ (a full house, Queens full of Tens)
(Equity - Pre-Flop: 30%, Flop: 13%, Turn: 13%, River: 100%)

vendalinhy (UTG) wins $4

I think about break long too hard win when You favourite, AK * hand never win something, but idiots always must get lucky... so sick


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LiamXii Topic starter
LiamXii
Joined: 06.06.2022
Poker Player

Haha! I'm back and I've wrote down all the stuff I need to work on. I'd much rather lose that sort of money while I'm still comfortably bankrolled for NL10 :)
My luck seems brutal and seems like yours is the same! Just use this time to work on your weaknesses. We will get there in the end.


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LiamXii Topic starter
LiamXii
Joined: 06.06.2022
Poker Player

Not happy with the results of today but profit is profit. I'm still making a lot of mistakes and losing profits in areas, as today could have been a much more profitable session. I'll keep at it and keep building my bankroll. $1000 will be my main goal.

On the plus side GBP is doing very badly, therefore all my poker money has significantly gone up in value, so now has never been such a good time to grind poker.

Profits: $15.88
Bankroll: $490.30

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Mizzzzz
Joined: 20.08.2019
PokerStrategist

I like to read this blog and I like, that you`re so emotional, but...
does it help you, to feel that way?
As its for me, I dont think, you`re on a "big downswing" atm;
you are hit by variance, thats it (in my world):

Maybe, it could help you, to play around with this tool a bit:
Variance-Calculator

Good luck at the tables and beyond!


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LiamXii Topic starter
LiamXii
Joined: 06.06.2022
Poker Player

Haha yes maybe I’m slightly dramatic and apologies for that but I don’t handle variance too well. If you go back I had a bad moment before but I eventually come around. It does help me to identify my weaknesses because honestly 50% of it was probably variance for sure but 50% of it could have been avoided through my emotion control. I’m working on it and thanks for your comment! I’m hopefully back on track now


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LiamXii Topic starter
LiamXii
Joined: 06.06.2022
Poker Player
Session 48 - NL10 - 02/10/22

Short game today as I'm currently quite busy but hopefully I'll be back on track this week!
My estimated EV went down considerably because I did a classic 50/50 flip with a short stack. It was 100% worth it, even if I lost. I didnt want to bet and get stuck on future streets, it was better to just go all in. Sometimes I think the reduced EV decisions are the best decisions.

Hand Analysis - two overs and a two street flush draw, I think I'm 50% favorite most times

Spoiler

PokerStars - $0.10 NL - Holdem - 9 players
Hand converted by Holdem Manager 3

CO: $9.70 (97 bb)
BTN: $10.83 (108.3 bb)
SB: $11.02 (110.2 bb)
BB: $10.00 (100 bb)
UTG: $15.24 (152.4 bb)
UTG+1: $6.23 (62.3 bb)
MP: $20.16 (201.6 bb)
MP+1: $10.00 (100 bb)
Hero (MP+2): $29.23 (292.3 bb)

SB posts $0.05, BB posts $0.10

Pre Flop: (pot: $0.15) Hero has A♦: Q♦:
fold, UTG+1 calls $0.10, MP calls $0.10, fold, Hero raises to $0.50, 4 folds, UTG+1 calls $0.40, fold

Flop: ($1.25, 2 players) J♦: 6♣: 8♦:
UTG+1 bets $1.19, Hero raises to $28.73 and is all-in, UTG+1 calls $4.54 and is all-in

Turn: ($12.71, 2 players) 7♣:

River: ($12.71, 2 players) 6♦:

Results: $12.71 pot ($0.57 rake)
Final Board: J♦: 6♣: 8♦: 7♣: 6♦:

UTG+1 shows 5♠: 6♥:: (Three of a Kind, Sixes)
(Pre 36%, Flop 44%, Turn 66%)

Hero shows A♦: Q♦:: (Flush, Ace High)
(Pre 64%, Flop 56%, Turn 34%)

Hero wins $12.14

You be the judge! but I think it is best.

Profits: $25.19
Bankroll: $517.39

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