Do you know when to make a -EV decision?

Most players know how to evaluate a decision in a given hand. What about a broader perspective? How do your current choices influence your future situations?

Imagine you are on the final table of a tournament (SNG or MTT) with a high payjump between 5th and 4th place:

Given the odds and your opponent's range you know you have a call that is profitable "in a vacuum", but something tells you that this situation requires deeper consideration. Therefore, you ask yourself the following questions:

• What will my future situations look like if I win/loose this hand?
• Is my current position convenient to apply pressure?
• Do I want to have a player with a short stack at this table? Is it good that he sits on my right?
  
• Should I expect medium stacks to be tight as long as there is a short stack in the game? What does this mean for my future possibilities?
  

Confused? Let us solve your dilemma!

When considering a push-or-fold situation, the ICM-based Nash ranges are great to start with; however, you should always be aware of the risks and limitations that come along with this. In general, it can be said that the ICM does not look into the future.

In this lesson you will see how your decisions in a given spot may influence your future situations, and you will learn how to take advantage of that knowledge.

New SNG lesson:
Future Game Simulation (1): Introduction

After considering these problems, what's your decision?