so, time for an update, this month I'm running good so far
I've just finished a session:
most profit came from this guy:
he is a reg, very aggressive, raises a lot especially river. (in HUD you can see his turn/river raise in line 5 and 6, last stat, turnraise 27%, riverraise 67%)
lets have a look at this hand:
Party, $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.
SB: $14.36 (57.4 bb)
BB: $13.92 (55.7 bb)
UTG: $23.29 (93.2 bb)
MP: $26.49 (106 bb)
CO: $48.96 (195.8 bb)
Hero (BTN): $25.28 (101.1 bb)
Preflop: Hero is BTN with 9
T
UTG folds, MP raises to $0.80, CO calls $0.80, Hero calls $0.80, SB folds, BB calls $0.55
pre is ok, hand has a good playability multiway.
Flop: ($3.30) 5
2
8 (4 players)
BB checks, MP checks, CO checks, Hero checks
as everybody checks, I could bet flop to take down the pot, I did not, because 2 guys in this hand don't like to fold here, especially the PFA doesn't like fold. normally I often bet in this spots, good for the redline. but in this specific spot with 2 weaker overcards and a BDstraight it's burning money.
Turn: ($3.30) 9 (4 players)
BB checks, MP checks, CO checks, Hero bets $2.25, BB folds, MP calls $2.25, CO folds
I hit TP, and again everybody checks, this time I bet. I think sizing is o.k. there are many draws possible, but PFA would bet his draw, I think CO would do so too.
River: ($7.80) 2
(2 players)
MP checks, Hero bets $1.50, MP raises to $4.80, Hero calls $3.30
PFA checks again, all draws are busted, and the board pairs.
I decide to bet small to induce a raise. normally my hand is not strong enough to call a riverraise, but here it is.
villain has almost no hand which beats mine here.
he could have A2s, but A2 
he'd bet flop. A2 
he would bet turn.
not sure he would call turn with A2 
or 
he has no sets or overpairs, because he would bet them, he has no better 9s, he would bet them turn too. he can't have 2 pairs, 85, not in his range, 89 would bet flop, 52, 82, 92 also not in his range.
I also have a note "likes to raise paired boards"
-----> easy call
of course when I play I don't analyse his range like this. it's more like "he has nothing, board pairs, I have best hand, let's see if he raises me, good spot to induce"
Results: $17.40 pot ($0.87 rake)
Final Board: 5 2 8 9 2
MP showed Q A and lost (-$7.85 net)
Hero showed 9 T and won $16.53 ($8.68 net)
another one:
Party, $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.
SB: $33.09 (132.4 bb)
BB: $40.62 (162.5 bb)
UTG: $25.10 (100.4 bb)
MP: $36.89 (147.6 bb)
CO: $19.57 (78.3 bb)
Hero (BTN): $25 (100 bb)
Preflop: Hero is BTN with J A
3 folds, Hero raises to $0.50, SB calls $0.40, BB raises to $2, Hero calls $1.50, SB calls $1.50
he squeezes 18% in the BB overall, in this spot even more
I decided to call and to go with hand when I hit smthg.
4bet would be an options, but he is sometimes a little spewy and I wouldn't like to 4bet fold. imo call is the best option here
Flop: ($6) 4 4 A (3 players)
SB checks, BB bets $3.40, Hero calls $3.40, SB folds
of course he bets, he has 78% Cbet in 3bet pots, I have an easy call.
Turn: ($12.80) 9 (2 players)
BB checks, Hero checks
check behind is o.k. I don't want to get checkraised and I give him the chance to turn a weaker hand into a bluff river.
River: ($12.80) 9 (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $3, BB raises to $12, Hero calls $9
here it gets ugly, but he checked turn and river, I know he likes to raise paired boards, so I bet small again. he can have some 9s maybe a 4, but I'm sure he wouldn't go for checkraise. I checked behind turn already and he should bet river with a FH.
anyway, he plays straight forward in general, so he would bet AK/AQ flop and turn, and 9x river.
overall I think this spot is maybe closer than the one before, but it is still a call
Results: $36.80 pot ($1.84 rake)
Final Board: 4 4 A 9 9
BB showed 8 7 and lost (-$17.40 net)
Hero showed J A and won $34.96 ($17.56 net)
