Question 4.
MP3 is the calling station from Question 3 - (45/4/0,7/48)
CO is a thinking TAG
Preflop: Hero is BU with A
, K
MP2 folds, MP3 calls, CO raises, Hero 3-bets, 2 folds, MP3 calls, CO calls.
Flop: (10.40 SB) 8
, 7
, 6
(3 players)
MP3 checks, CO checks, Hero bets, MP3 calls, CO calls.
Turn: (6.70 BB) Q
(2 players)
MP3 checks, CO checks. You?
Final Pot: 6.70 BB
You have placed a reraise (3-bet) preflop with A
K
, after a limp and a raise. Unfortunately, you miss the flop, but you still make your continuation bet. Both players call you and the turn brings the Q
. Both players check to you yet again - what's the optimal line here?
a) You check behind, as you are often behind on this board. The passive opponent could play a simple pair this way and the TAG might be afraid to raise with just a pair. You also try to avoid a check/raise as the TAG has hands like Q-J, K-Q and Q-T in his CO-range. You're behind most times and should go for the freecard.
b) You bet the turn for free showdown, but fold to a check/raise. Odds of 1:11 aren't sufficient in this spot, as you don't have 4 outs but are already drawing dead most of the time.
c) You bet the turn for free showdown and call a check/raise for your outs. The passive fish often calls with just overcards, and the CO being a TAG, would have raised any pair as you would have missed this board frequently. You see yourself ahead often enough and bet the turn to avoid being bluffed on the river and because you could bet the river for value if you happened to improve. The pot is also quite sizeable already.