partypoker - $1 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
BTN: 201.51 BB (VPIP: 24.38, PFR: 20.72, 3Bet Preflop: 11.53, Hands: 1,653)
SB: 41.94 BB (VPIP: 14.29, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 8)
Hero (BB): 123.33 BB
UTG: 103.18 BB (VPIP: 10.34, PFR: 10.34, 3Bet Preflop: 8.33, Hands: 29)
MP: 100 BB (VPIP: 25.64, PFR: 17.95, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 41)
CO: 69.69 BB (VPIP: 38.78, PFR: 34.69, 3Bet Preflop: 14.29, Hands: 50)
SB posts SB 0.5 BB, Hero posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has 5♦ 8♦
fold, fold, fold, BTN raises to 2 BB, fold, Hero calls 1 BB
Flop: (4.5 BB, 2 players) J♦ 7♣ 6♦
Hero checks, BTN bets 4.28 BB, Hero calls 4.28 BB
Turn: (13.06 BB, 2 players) 5♣
Hero checks, BTN bets 17 BB, Hero raises to 44 BB, BTN raises to 71 BB, Hero raises to 117.05 BB and is all-in, BTN calls 46.05 BB
River: (247.16 BB, 2 players) Q♣
Spoiler
BTN shows 9♦ 8♠ (Straight, Nine High) (Pre 69%, Flop 52%, Turn 78%)
Hero mucks 5♦ 8♦ (One Pair, Fives) (Pre 31%, Flop 48%, Turn 22%)
BTN wins 244.16 BB
Hand just few minutes ago, I was SB vs BB he called open raise, I check JQo on AQx, he checks K2s, turn J I check he overbets with gutshots, I call, and he gives up river.
So even though I hit mega draw, it makes sense that he will not bluff overbet this time, right? Still I did raise, because it is just my assumption that he will not overbet bluff, and i dont need much FE with this hand. Here it is strange to think about ranges, when I dont think he will bluff just after I saw him bluffing?