villain is 45/21/af2.4/f2cb38/wtsd21/hnds/202
no reads/history that i can recall
Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $2(BB) Replayer
SB ($245)
Hero ($276)
UTG ($200)
CO ($211)
BTN ($129)
Dealt to Hero 2♠ A♦
fold, fold, BTN calls $2, fold, Hero checks
FLOP ($5) Q♠ 3♦ 5♦
Hero bets $4, BTN calls $4
TURN ($13) Q♠ 3♦ 5♦ 4♦
Hero bets $10, BTN raises to $20, Hero calls $10
RIVER ($53) Q♠ 3♦ 5♦ 4♦ 4♥
Hero checks, BTN bets $34, Hero folds
BTN wins $50.35
Bet river for value! He has a very wide range for openlimping on the button.
Ofc this means there are a lot of flushes as well, but he's way more likely to only call TP or a PP on flop and turn and there's some chance he raises a FD/flush on either flop or turn.
So there are more worse hands than better ones in his range.
Uh sorry I think i misread and thought he called our turnbet.
Since he raised the turn (even though it was a minraise) I like the c/f on the river.
Generally I'd consider c/calling in a spot like this, but as I wrote in my first post his openlimpingrange on the BU contains almost any2 suited - therefore he has a huge number of combinations of flushes in his range.
Even though I believe he is bluffing turn and river like this, too, the bluffingfrequency is usually not high enough due to the number of flushes he bets 100% of the time.
Thx bierbaer
would this be a fold if we had 67? as, like you say, he has a large number of flush combos?
I'd still call the turn because we get 4.3:1, so we have to be ahead less than 20% of the time and on the turn he could still do this with quite some hands even including some medium strength made hands (he will check those on the river) that he's clicking back for fun or maybe even an actual reason like getting a free SD ♦.
