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nl100 a7o

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sandraardnas
Joined: 11.01.2012


Poker Stars, $0.50/$1 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

Hero (SB): $110.63 (110.6 bb)
BB: $118.29 (118.3 bb)
UTG: $128.26 (128.3 bb)
MP: $119.46 (119.5 bb)
CO: $92.18 (92.2 bb)
BTN: $100 (100 bb)

Preflop: Hero is SB with 7 A
4 folds, Hero raises to $3, BB calls $2

Flop: ($6) K 2 9 (2 players)
Hero bets $4, BB calls $4

Turn: ($14) 8 (2 players)
Hero checks, BB checks

River: ($14) J (2 players)
Hero bets $26, BB folds

Results:

Spoiler

$14 pot ($0.63 rake)
Final Board: K 2 9 8 J
Hero mucked 7 A and won $13.37 ($6.37 net)
BB mucked and lost (-$7 net)

Hi,
his call bvb is 33%, 3b bvb-16%, fold to 4b ip on bb is 50%, so I think he 3bets AJ+/KQ/99+ and bluffs.

1) when he folds quite a lot bvb (52%), but dont fold that much postflop, what would be on of worst hands you would open here pre?

On this flop I cb cause I have some equity and villain will probably fold enough on this board.

On turn I dont bet cause it would cerainly be too loose, he has low fold to cb and I think I dont have good FE anyway here.

Wehn he xb turn I put him on 9x most often, also 2x, some 8x or 77 are possible.
River gave him only two pairs to his J9, so I bet big expecting him to fold almost everything.


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4 replies
mbml
Joined: 27.11.2008

hi

1. Why do you think he never has KX here? I think he would check back the weaker Kings

2. Your river line could be a good exploitative weapon but at the same time I don't really think that this is a spot where you would check flushes OTT too often so your overbetting range might be too heavily weighted towards bluffs (and an observant opponent might call down light)


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sandraardnas Topic starter
sandraardnas
Joined: 11.01.2012

1. You're right I dont know why I assumed he bets Kx.
Still, he doesnt look that observant and might even fold this weak king to first action like this, do you agree?


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mbml
Joined: 27.11.2008

yeah, maybe it's ok.

Just make sure your story is consistent. In order to rep some nutted hand here

1. You must prove yourself capable of showing up with strong hands
2. You need to tank on the Turn. If you snap check the Turn, I think any observant player will know that you are probably weak


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GingerKid
Joined: 05.08.2007

if it is your first time to overbet vs him, imo it is just important that villian is capt, doesnt matter what you rep, because most of villians will give you credit first time (I overbet all the time vs unknowns and super rarely get called by bluff catchers).

I think you can still rep flushes, at least I would c/r some flushes here, because villian will mostly bet Kx, 9x for protection/thin value, also will bluff floats like GS etc. So imo villian will bet on turn very often, which makes me want to c/r


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