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[Closed] NL100 AK facing cold 4b

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$0.50/$1 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

Hero (MP): $100.00
CO: $197.50
BTN: $195.15
SB: $102.00
BB: $110.35
UTG: $100.00

Pre Flop: ($1.50) Hero is MP with A♣ K♠
1 fold, Hero raises to $3, CO calls $3, BTN raises to $12, SB raises to $25.50, 3 folds

What should my 5b range be in this spot? KK+?
BTN is a nit looking tag with stats of 15/6/4,8/53 VP/PFR/3b/Hands
SB is a LAG looking guy with stats of 34/27/9,3/200


1 reply
Bierbaer
Joined: 27.05.2005

At first glance I'd say it's a fold given that BU is such a tight guy.
Unless SB spazzes randomly he is not 4betting light here because BU is not squeezing light.
So I expect to have close to 0% foldequity.

We need to bring 97 for a total pot of 216, so 44.9% equity.
Even vs a range that includes TT+,AK we don't have that:

       Equity     Win     Tie
MP2    40.39%  27.16%  13.23% { AKo }
MP3    59.61%  46.38%  13.23% { TT+, AKs, AKo }

And I'd even assume he only 4bets QQ+,AK in this spot (I wouldn't even be sure if he 4bets AK, in his shoes I'd fold).

So yes, my shippingrange (for hero) is KK+ pretty much.


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