NL100 KJo

I don´t like much to squeeze light with fish on the hand, but after deciding to squeeze, i like your 2 bullets, would be shuting totaly down if got called on the turn

nh imo, i like the squeeze and double barrel

I think it would be alot better if we started hand with say 135bbs so that we could find a pot sized river shove, we will get called down twice here very often, but stack to pot ratio isn't so good on the river after this turn bet as (if I'm not mistaking will be betting 50~ into 100~ giving him a great price to call.

If we were deeper and could jam 100 into 100 I think it would be alot better and give our range alot more balance.

Yeah a riverbet will be terrible with these stacksizes, but how about betting turn and then giving up on the river, with the reasoning that he will peel AQ or AK on the flop a lot of the times (if not always)?

Yeah, I think again your thought process is spot on as long as we c/f non K/J rivers.

Originally posted by stealyourblinds
I don´t like much to squeeze light with fish on the hand, but after deciding to squeeze, i like your 2 bullets, would be shuting totaly down if got called on the turn

Definitely squeeze for value vs the fish.

As played I'd actually consider checking the flop because the fishes callingrange is absolutely crushing us:

Board: 5♦4♥2♠
       Equity     Win     Tie
MP2    79.52%  78.24%   1.27% { 22+, AJs+, 98s, 87s, 76s, 65s, 54s, AJo+ }
CO     20.48%  19.21%   1.27% { KJo }

And we don't have too much foldequity.

Notice that you can put in some more broadways, but it doesn't change too much.
I really dislike starting to barrel when we're such a huge underdog, especially because Q and A are by no means clean cards and especially on a Q we can easily get another call from most PPs, the same goes for a T.

We are HU against the TAG on the flop, not vs the fish. What do you think of my 2barrels then?

Hm imo the same applies, Ax is a favourite and never folds given the equity of GS+over, so the bet on the flop is not good in the first place.

If I bet the flop I do so with the plan of barreling flop-river.

Forgive me if I am stubborn

But why don't you think he will fold all Ax on the turn? And AK,AQ being a big part of his range should make a bet +EV?

I'm not sure he folds them on the turn - that's why I bet turn AND river ;).
And why is a bet +EV when he has AK/AK and doesn't fold them?
In a vacuum I think flop&turn are both -EV, we can potentially make up for it with the riverbet, but given how little equity we have I'm just giving up in the first place.