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nl100 zoom KQs

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sandraardnas
Joined: 11.01.2012


Poker Stars, $0.50/$1 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 9 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

BTN: $100 (100 bb)
SB: $120.13 (120.1 bb)
BB: $101.50 (101.5 bb)
Hero (UTG+1): $166.24 (166.2 bb)
UTG+2: $113.56 (113.6 bb)
MP1: $102 (102 bb)
MP2: $143.19 (143.2 bb)
MP3: $104.66 (104.7 bb)
CO: $85.76 (85.8 bb)

Preflop: Hero is UTG+1 with K Q
Hero raises to $3, UTG+2 folds, MP1 calls $3, 6 folds

Flop: ($7.50) 8 6 3 (2 players)
Hero bets $5, MP1 calls $5

Turn: ($17.50) 9 (2 players)
Hero checks, MP1 checks

River: ($17.50) 2 (2 players)
Hero checks, MP1 checks

Results:

Spoiler

$17.50 pot ($0.79 rake)
Final Board: 8 6 3 9 2
Hero showed K Q and lost (-$8 net)
MP1 showed A K and won $16.71 ($8.71 net)

Hey, flop I bet cause he might fold AK, AQ without backdoors and low pockets.

Turn I think I have fold equity maybe around 10% if I cb, so I checked with thoughts about x/r.

On river I wasnt sure if he would belive me with TT or 77 if I bet, maybe bet like 30$ would be ok?


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3 replies
Coach
w34z3l
Joined: 03.08.2009

Hey Sandraardnas,

Preflop open-raise is fine.

With so much equity vs an opponent who is capable of folding I would generally just look to 2barrel and expect it to show a profit.

As played, on river - the weaker our hand is in terms of showdown value the more we should tend towards betting. IN this particular spot, villains turn check back often signals some type of weak showdown value and the river comes not so great for bluffing. X/f is fine here imo. But yeah, totally looks like a reasonable spot to overbet speaking in general. It's nicer when we don't block the busted flush draw.


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sandraardnas Topic starter
sandraardnas
Joined: 11.01.2012

Hey, could you tell what hands would you expect him to fold on this turn to 2nd barrel?
I thought its one of worst card cause now 77 probably dont fold, 99 has set, TT has GS and JJ still calls for sure. On this position he probably doesnt have many more hands looking at his cold call stat.


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Coach
w34z3l
Joined: 03.08.2009

Originally posted by sandraardnas
Hey, could you tell what hands would you expect him to fold on this turn to 2nd barrel?
I thought its one of worst card cause now 77 probably dont fold, 99 has set, TT has GS and JJ still calls for sure. On this position he probably doesnt have many more hands looking at his cold call stat.

Primarily floats and PP's.

Also I'm looking at his fold to turn cbet stat which suggests we can make auto-profit given a small amount of equity.

Also given our pot equity we are doing ok vs a lot of his calling range.

Finally we can triple barrel on good river cards.


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