I was talking to blinzler about calldowns a few days ago and put some time to the article, but since math comes from venus and I come from mars (or is that the other way around?
), I'm a little (read totally) lost with the formula as presented.
This belongs in the intermediate forum, but since I can't acces these at the moment...
This is what I thought while reading the article:
1. Estimate opponents likely hand ranges, estimate the percentage that you are ahead on average.
2. Calculate the pot at showdown, calculate your expectation value.
3. Estimate the cost of the calldown.
4. If the cost is less than your share of the pot it's a calldown, otherwise it's a fold.
Seems logical :), did I miss or oversee anything?