Ok, here I am at last. ![]()
I don't really know what is the problem, whether it's in my game, that I can't just adapt to the donks well or that I have just a bad luck which comes back in regular intervals, but I simply can't win at fridays and weekends.
I know that those should be the best days when all the bad casual players play drunk when they get home from some party and want to have some good time gambling. It just doesn't work for me.
I loose way too much everytime I play on friday/weekends.
Today I played some sessions and the results isn't too optimistic.
My EV line is about 10 BI down. I play SSS NL100 on Stars, so 10 BI is not that much and I'm kinda used to 10 BI swings but the way this happened today is just... I can't find a word... crazy.
Many coolers like JJ vs. QQ, AQ vs. KK and similar stuff in blind battles or steal/resteal situations. Well, I guess that happens and sometime it happens the other way around and even itself in the long run, but there is more, don't worry.
People limp/reraising crazy stuff. I mean... he limps, i raise with TT, he 3bets. We get it in and he has KJ. Someone minraises, get a caller, i squeeze all-in with AK, one of them calls me with 55. These are just ridiculous calls, how can he call against my range? He is so toasted... But he is not behind and in this particular situation it's a "good" call.
What I get called with. This is maybe a little bit my mistake for giving my opponents too much credit in a way that I just can't believe they could have a hand they are representing. Few examples:
Someone limps, I check in bb some trash and flop bottom two pair. He bets the flop and from the way the board looks, he can have 1 pair hand at most. On the turn there is some brick and he check-raises me. I mean, what can he have on a 842J board which he didn't raise preflop but also didn't fold, maybe set of 2 or 4, but since I have 42 in my hand, it's just so unlikely because there is only 1 combination of each left in the deck. Hence we get it in and he flips J8 for better 2 pair.
A player lims, I raise AK, he calls. Flop comes AJ7, we get it in, he has J7.
I raise someone with JJ, he calls. The flop comes with some overcard, I still c-bet and get called. Turn goes check-check and the river gives me a set of jacks. I bet and get raised. I think for a few seconds because the river completed a backdoor flush draw. But the original (from flop) heart draw missed and some straight draws missed, I decide to call. Obviously he called me on the flop with no pair no draw and backdoored a flush.
Someone limps, I check bb, the flop and turn goes check-check. On the river I get some kind of a top pair or something, don't really remember and my opponent checks the 3rd time. There is time for a value bet, so I bet and he makes this big raise, I'm completely taken aback by surprise and call without really thinking about it because I just can't understand what his line can possibly mean. Well, it mean that he was slowplaying KK like this.
Well, some pretty standard stuff like people setmining with no implied odds (I raise to 30 % of my stack and they still call with low pockets and hit like every time xD), but this happens every day and I'm pretty much used to it. Just when it happens a few times while you are loosing stacks on all tables, it doesn't help.
So, I guess this kinda explains my frustration and the reasons my EV is like negative 10 BI. A little icing on the cake is that my actual winnings for today are anothe 10 BI under EV because of some suckouts, lost flips and a few funny hands, but that doesn't bother me that much. Because if my EV line is good I pretty much know and am confident that the only problem is bad luck, but when EV line drops way down, I start to worry. ![]()
Just a few examples. I had this regular on 2 tables and he has pretty high fold2steal, hence I tried to steal from him a few times. I think that he reppoped me like 4 times out of 5. I might have called him once and run into a monster, I'm not sure whether it was him or someone else. Anyway it folds to me in the SB and I open with my Aces again vs. him and he shoves on me like so many times before. I snapcall obviously and loose another stack, because he outflops me.
Loosing some big pots (when I was doubled up already or at least with 25+ bb stack or when it was a 3way all-in). Once I had QQ and got it in preflop, got 2 callers, who got it in either on flop or turn, the flop was like J76. One guy had JJ the other one 66 and hit his 1outer on the river. At least I felt like I'm not alone with the other guy loosing with his top set. ![]()
And a few "funny" hands like this one for example.
Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:
$0.5/$1 No-Limit Hold'em (9 handed)
Known players:
[tg]MP1$24.50:///////;MP2$100.00:///////;MP3$38.40:///////;CO$92.90:///////;BU(Hero)$20.00:///////;SB$50.00:///////;BB$103.00:///////;UTG1$112.25:///////;UTG2$98.50:///////;[/tg]
Preflop: Hero is BU with K:c, A:c.
4 folds, MP3 raises to $2.00, CO calls $2.00, Hero raises to $20.00(All-In), 3 folds, CO calls $18.00.
Flop: ($43.5) 6:h, 9:c, 4:s (2 players)
Turn: ($43.5) 5:d (2 players)
River: ($43.5) 8:d (2 players)
Final Pot: $43.5.
Results follow:
Hero shows high card ace(K:c A:c).
CO shows a pair of fours(J:h 4:h).
CO wins with a pair of fours(J:h 4:h).
Seriously, I would like so much to sit down at a friday eveing and be like "hey, fishes, thank you very much for the moniez", but the reality is that the worse the players the more I loose. ![]()
And I just hate it so much. I simply NEED to win in games this soft.
Well, it actually helped a bit to write it down and I feel fine again, so thanks in advance to any possible readers
and thanks twice to anyone who has some kind of suggestion.
