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[Closed] 1/2 AJo SH

7 Posts
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Known players:
[tg]Position_Stack:hands/vp$ip/RaisePreflop/AF/WTS/ORL/BBvsSteal/W$SD;Hero$71,75:///////;CO$21,50:452/26/18/1,9/43/27/70/51;[/tg]
1/2 Fixed-Limit Hold'em (6 handed)
Hand recorder used for this poker hand: Elephant 0.69 by www.pokerstrategy.com.

Preflop: Hero is BB with A♣, J♦
2 folds, CO raises, 2 folds, Hero 3-bets, CO caps, Hero calls.

Flop: (8,50 SB) K♣, J♣, A♦ (2 players)
Hero checks, CO bets, Hero calls.

Turn: (5,25 BB) 9♠ (2 players)
Hero checks, CO bets, Hero calls.

River: (7,25 BB) 7♠ (2 players)
Hero checks, CO checks.

Final Pot: 7,25 BB

Stats indicate a solid TAG, so I presumed PS TAG range - TT+/AQs+. Of his range I beat only TT, QQ and AQs. I know I should raise for protection against FD, but K :club: greatly decreases his FD range, so the only threatening FD in his standard range is with A :club: Q :club:. My line of thinking was - if I raise I will only get TT and probably even QQ to fold, AQs would call or 3bet me, while I would get 3bet from all better hands and I won't be able to fold twopair. Therefore I c/c flop/turn to get the most value out of worse hands and lose minimal against better.

Some calculations:

FLOP
Equity Win Tie Loss Hand
Player 1: 51,272% 50,623% 1,299% 48,078% TT+, AQs+, AKo
Player 2: 48,728% 48,078% 1,299% 50,623% AcJd

TURN
Equity Win Tie Loss Hand
Player 1: 50,531% 50,531% 0,000% 49,469% TT+, AQs+, AKo
Player 2: 49,469% 49,469% 0,000% 50,531% AcJd

RIVER
Equity Win Tie Loss Hand
Player 1: 44,009% 44,009% 0,000% 55,991% TT+, AQs+, AKo
Player 2: 55,991% 55,991% 0,000% 44,009% AcJd

And a bonus question is coming after the evaluation.


6 replies
OlivierLu
Joined: 17.11.2007

Yeah, it look like a wa/wb situation.


Hi Berkstajger,

he has no flushdraw in his range. ;) (If he has you should change the site as you are playing at Absolute or Ultimatbet. )

I don't see him folding any hand here as he has at least a gutshot and the pot is pretty big already. But that doesn't matter as I agree with you that a simple calldown should be best here.

Maybe a donkbet on the river may be an option but I see him checking the turn with QQ and TT pretty often so after his turnbet you can easily chek/call the river too.


_Anonymous_ Topic starter
_Anonymous_

Em... what about A :club:Q :club:? ?(

And the bonus question - he had 66! According to PFR and VP$IP this shouldn't be in his capping range at all. I have quite big hand sample on him and he probably has the same on me, so he possibly adjusted his play against me, but I don't think my hands played vs him would show I'm so loose that 66 could be included in pf capping range. Any suggestion on adjusting to his play(except the obvious that I should include even middle PP in his pf capping range) or what could he be thinking with taking this line against me?


DukeFreedom
Joined: 07.04.2008

Originally posted by Berkstajger
Em... what about A :club:Q :club:? ?(

Your hand
A:c!!!, J:d

Originally posted by Berkstajger
he has no flushdraw in his range. ;) (If he has you should change the site as you are playing at Absolute or Ultimatbet. )


_Anonymous_ Topic starter
_Anonymous_

Oh, darn... seems I have to go back rereading basic and bronze articles about cards...


Maybe he was on tilt as 66 is way too much. The turnbet is very bad as well (without thinking much about it).

You definitely should call down looser against him. If you catch him staying that loose he may become tighter so you have to be tighter too.

He may as well saw you folding pretty fast so he want to get into more situation with you as he may outplay you a lot.


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