Known players:
[tg]Position_Stack:hands/vp$ip/RaisePreflop/AF/WTS/ORL/BBvsSteal/W$SD;Hero$71,75:///////;CO$21,50:452/26/18/1,9/43/27/70/51;[/tg]
1/2 Fixed-Limit Hold'em (6 handed)
Hand recorder used for this poker hand: Elephant 0.69 by www.pokerstrategy.com.
Preflop: Hero is BB with A♣, J♦
2 folds, CO raises, 2 folds, Hero 3-bets, CO caps, Hero calls.
Flop: (8,50 SB) K♣, J♣, A♦ (2 players)
Hero checks, CO bets, Hero calls.
Turn: (5,25 BB) 9♠ (2 players)
Hero checks, CO bets, Hero calls.
River: (7,25 BB) 7♠ (2 players)
Hero checks, CO checks.
Final Pot: 7,25 BB
Stats indicate a solid TAG, so I presumed PS TAG range - TT+/AQs+. Of his range I beat only TT, QQ and AQs. I know I should raise for protection against FD, but K
greatly decreases his FD range, so the only threatening FD in his standard range is with A
Q :club:. My line of thinking was - if I raise I will only get TT and probably even QQ to fold, AQs would call or 3bet me, while I would get 3bet from all better hands and I won't be able to fold twopair. Therefore I c/c flop/turn to get the most value out of worse hands and lose minimal against better.
Some calculations:
FLOP
Equity Win Tie Loss Hand
Player 1: 51,272% 50,623% 1,299% 48,078% TT+, AQs+, AKo
Player 2: 48,728% 48,078% 1,299% 50,623% AcJd
TURN
Equity Win Tie Loss Hand
Player 1: 50,531% 50,531% 0,000% 49,469% TT+, AQs+, AKo
Player 2: 49,469% 49,469% 0,000% 50,531% AcJd
RIVER
Equity Win Tie Loss Hand
Player 1: 44,009% 44,009% 0,000% 55,991% TT+, AQs+, AKo
Player 2: 55,991% 55,991% 0,000% 44,009% AcJd
And a bonus question is coming after the evaluation. ♦