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[Closed] 5-10 J7s semibluff turn

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Pete70
Joined: 14.04.2006

Only fold equity for the raise on the turn here?
SB: 39/24/2.8/29 40 hands

Poker Room skin
Limit Holdem Ring game
Limit: $5/$10
4 players
Converter

Pre-flop: (4 players) Hero is UTG with J♥ 7♥
Hero raises, Button folds, SB 3-bets, BB folds, Hero calls.

Flop: 4♦ 9♥ K♥ (6SB, 2 players)
SB bets, Hero calls.

Turn: 8♣ (4BB, 2 players)
SB bets, Hero raises, SB calls.

River: 2♦ (8BB, 2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets, SB calls.

Results:
Final pot: 10BB


5 replies
Yoghi
Joined: 10.09.2007

Fold preflop? J7s isn't good enough here imo.

He doesn't need to fold this turn a lot, but I think I would go for a flopraise here. You have a lot of clean outs, but he is almost never going to fold, WTS isn't really a stat you can use after 40 hands.

From his range he is going to fold QJ and QT, if he even 3-bets those. Maybe A2/3/5/6 aswell but I'm not too sure about that on this board.

I also think the pot is too small to try it this way, you only win 5BB.


Raise flop is possible as well but I like the turn raise too.


Yoghi
Joined: 10.09.2007

He's not really gonna fold a lot of hands on this turn though, so many draws possible...

Don't have time to do an equity analysis, maybe tonight.


Hmm he might fold an A because the raise would look strong for me on a not too scary turncard.

Do you see more fold equity with a flop raise and turnbet?


Yoghi
Joined: 10.09.2007

I'm not sure, but it's more of a thing that when you play it that way you invest 1 SB less while there's not going to be a big difference in FE.

Also the 8 gives some additional draws, QJ, QT and JT all picket up some kind of draw which is part of our range.

I think both are good, but here I somehow like raise flop more against unknown ;)


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