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A5o BTNvsBB - Gameplan

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MisterSnS
Joined: 09.11.2011

MP: 315.14 BB (VPIP: 23.95, PFR: 19.76, 3Bet Preflop: 18.64, Hands: 176)
CO: 100 BB (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 2)
Hero (BTN): 140.12 BB
SB: 40.5 BB (VPIP: 14.00, PFR: 12.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 51)
BB: 244.58 BB (VPIP: 22.14, PFR: 15.00, 3Bet Preflop: 6.93, Hands: 283)
UTG: 216.28 BB (VPIP: 29.21, PFR: 18.64, 3Bet Preflop: 18.06, Hands: 185)

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has 5♦ A♥

fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to 2 BB, fold, BB calls 1 BB

Flop: (4.5 BB, 2 players) 9♥ 4♥ J♣
BB checks, Hero bets 3 BB, BB calls 3 BB

Turn: (10.5 BB, 2 players) 6♥
BB checks, Hero bets 9 BB, BB raises to 22 BB, fold

Villain is a reg, no further notes. My thought process in this hand was, because we have BD-Straight and Flush-Outs, to cbet the flop and barrel any :heart: to fold out hands with equity, like gutshots with overcards, and 9x. Some :heart: 's are checkbacks, like any K♥ / Q♥

Thoughts on the play? Do we have enough fold-equity? We need about 28% (46% - 18% [flush-draw equity]) to break-even


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2 replies
Mozzek
Joined: 16.07.2016

I would check back on this turn, we might bet the turn if 3 or 2 comes, as it gives us even more outs. That would be my standard play, but you should consider his fold to cbet (on each street) to make more accurate decision. As played I fold to raise.


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la55i
Joined: 27.01.2013

I'm not sure if I would cbet the flop. I think using a delayed cbet would be fine too.


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