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Bluff catch

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Not sure about this hand if villain has TT+,AQs+,AKo to call the 4bet then i have a good bluff catch with as much as 44% equity and needing 33% equity. But at what frequency does villain have any of those combos i wont have the 44% equity but am i above the 33% equity mark ? ?. Any thoughts on the hand welcome.

GG Poker - $0.02 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by Holdem Manager 3

BTN: $2.28 (114 bb)
SB: $2.00 (100 bb)
BB: $2.00 (100 bb)
UTG: $0.48 (24 bb)
Hero (MP): $7.03 (351.5 bb)
CO: $2.00 (100 bb)

SB posts $0.01, BB posts $0.02

Pre Flop: (pot: $0.03) Hero has T A
fold, Hero raises to $0.05, fold, BTN raises to $0.17, 2 folds, Hero raises to $0.45, BTN calls $0.28

Flop: ($0.93, 2 players) 5 J T
Hero bets $0.31, BTN calls $0.31

Turn: ($1.55, 2 players) 4
Hero checks, BTN checks

River: ($1.55, 2 players) 6
Hero checks, BTN bets $1.52 and is all-in, Hero ?


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7 replies
Meiggel C
Joined: 10.06.2009

Why would you ever 4-bet there preflop?


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Casey55
Joined: 19.07.2010

Against opponent who is capable of bluffing a call seems reasonable I think, it is somewhat confusing that AK,AQ wouldnt just check behind river though… hmm.


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Moderator
SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008

I expect villain has a capped range most of the time. Hands like QQ+ would most likely 5bet shove.

4betting with ATs seems loose as well without any info on the villain in this hand. ATs can play well post-flop and you don't want to play a big pot out of position. If I 4bet I would make it at least 3x. Now you give villain decent odds to call you in position.

Also the Cbet sizing is really small. If villain has hit this board he/she will never fold. I would Cbet around half pot for value and protection on a wet board like this.

Cheers,
SDK1987


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Vampiir142
Joined: 01.10.2017

Same there - preflop ATs from MP just call vs 3B from BU.
River call. Looks like he had AK, AQ. There is no reason to check with madehand on the turn. If he had some top pair, overpair beeter would be bet to protect vs club FD or SD.


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_Anonymous_ Topic starter
_Anonymous_

Bluff the spot range charts has ATs 4betting around 60% of the time in mp when oop so the 4bet should be ok.


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SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008

Don't forget you are playing NL2. Than a bluff 4bet is less effective than on higher limits.


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mbml
Joined: 27.11.2008

PF: I typically call ATs vs 3bets and 4bet bluff either with KQo only or AJo only (good blockers, not strong enough to call).

Exploitatively wise, from what I remember from years ago at NL2, people don't 3bet more than 2% vs EP. And they are value-weighted, people just don't 3bet bluff vs UTG by default because they don't plan out their ranges well enough. Thus, exploit is just to play super nitty and fold 22-66, AQo, ATs-AJs, KQs-KTs

R: As played, you got the perfect runout to bluff catch. Board is really draw heavy, I think JJ+, AJ will typically protect by betting Turn. Thus I think he has sufficient combos of AK/AQ that you are ahead of so you should bluff catch


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