
Hi guys, tricky spot I found today. Want to see your opinions on this.
Villain is a regular. Don't have much showdown info on him, but he seems a solid player.
Preflop I don't think there's much to say.
Flop I decided to check-back. I think he's supposed to bet his strong Ax, but he'll check some of them too (AA, weak Ax's, even AT, AJ). Decided to pot control right here.
Turn call is standard. Unless he has 44, nothing has changed.
River he polarizes by betting 2x pot. 9 is also a blank. He could check flop, bet OTT and catch a full OTR with 99, but it's a long shot.
I decided to bluffcatch here.
I think there are enough missed flushdraws (QTs, KTs, KJs, even low suited-connectors like 76s, 87s, 98s, T9s) double barreling the turn and river after I check/back OTF. I massively block Jx draws here, including AJ. I believe that even QT and KT shouldn't be overbetting,
Don't even know if it makes sense to bet KK/QQ this way. We are crushed by AT/AA/TT from the beginning (although I think he'd want to build a pot with this hands OTF...).
Your perceived range is FD and some weak A and it's useless to ovb 2x to make fold bust draws, so imo it's a big hand Vilain has (and risk reward is so bad in such a small pot that I don't see lot of bluffs here)
But maybe you're trying to trap us and Vilain has air
Due to the overbet i would fold.
Like densyosh said, its a big call to a small pot.
I'm checking back pretty much everything on the flop including all Ax, board's just good or UTG as I mix in all Ax into 3bets
So on the river I just call my Ax fold rest
JJ not really a consideration really
It's close with A3s not JJ I'd say
Reason why I play my range is that I just don't know what this is really don't face the line much and it's plausible he's trying to buy the pot,noway of knowing how often tho
Thank you all.
I've seen some new lines at NL25 that don't exist at the previous limits, like this one. Players are much more aggressive, both pre and post-flop.
I think the only way a hand like 76s, 87s, 98s, KJs, QJs has to win the pot is to bet at least two streets and represent the strongest part of UTG range. The thing is that I expect him to triple barrel here often with those.
Playing any hand that has showdown value this way (all PP, Tx) is weird and I think we can remove them from the range OTR.
So, it's probably better to play on the safe side by folding JJ here. Like Lemon said, call with Ax, fold the rest.
I have another question that is: how would you play AK here? check/back flop and raise OTT?
I don't understand very well when it is correct to raise polarized bets, like the river bet.