NL25sh - Folding AA in 4b pot sicksick.

You can make a great point about checking the flop since we can throw balance out the window.

But then, according to the range you provided, the turn is a very good card. Only one QQ and three JJ are possible now, as opposed to six (or well, four) KK, and eight AK (you wrote down less but i think we should also start discarding some QQ and JJ then, which makes it even steven again).

I'll never fold this hand, especially after that river now, his valuerange is so thin you'll need a magnifying glass to see it. And on the river he may think that you have AK, cause that's what it sure looks like to him. Or at least something else weak.

As a general rule I'd never (maybe once a year) fold AA in 4b pots cause the SPR is ridiculously small and there's always more combos of AK than sets.

Anyway now do we want to bet the turn, probably not.
Bet the river hmmm, you're probably better off checking and hoping to induce a bluff

edit: as a general rule I think you should be assigning less value to stats for which your samplesize is still too small. For example, this guy played 120 hands, which means that he saw 40 flops, which means he had less than 10 showdowns....rough approximation but you get it. 10 times that situation barely says anything about his showdown behavior.

Hello Farmarchist,

Yes, we should 4bet it bigger, towards 2,5x instead of such a min-raise. But otherwise not much to comment, I doubt that we are doing to face a lot of bluffs there while anything similar to like AK from his view would just Check it behind.

With his AF/W$SD he is rarely going to bluff there as well which we have to understand.

Best Regards.