This was interesting for me, I'm starting to try to get a hold of the more advanced plays xarry/gerv-style, and the quick calculation in my mind and a glance at the equity chart told me to make this play, now time to calculate if it was the right move..
Note: I've actually not a clue why I raised this from UTG (1 position earlier than MP1), but I believe I did it because of the CO poster and maaaaaaybe a little tilted. I normally follow the shcs very very strictly..
Poker Stars
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $0.25/$0.50
8 players
Converter
Stack sizes:
Hero: $7.75
UTG+1: $45.85
MP1: $49.50
MP2: $20
CO: $47.35
Button: $62.85
SB: $10.80
BB: $10.75
Pre-flop: (8 players) Hero is UTG with A♥ Q♥
Hero raises to $2.5, UTG+1 raises to $6.55, 6 folds, Hero raises all-in $7.75, UTG+1 calls.
Flop: 8♥ J♠ 9♥ ($16.25, 1 player + 1 all-in - Main pot: $16.25)
Turn: 6♠ ($16.25, 1 player + 1 all-in - Main pot: $16.25)
River: K♥ ($16.25, 1 player + 1 all-in - Main pot: $16.25)
Results:
Final pot: $16.25
Stats of villain: 3bet: 3,5% (1400 hands)
My attempted analysis:
Raise : Stack ratio = 2.50 : 5.25 = 1 : 2.1
Equity needed: 1/3.1 (IMPORTANT is this calculation correct? I will need to win in 1 out of 3.1 times?) =~ 0.323 = 32,3%
Handrange of opponent = 3.47% = TT+, AKo
AQs equity = 34,362% (equilated)
Conclusion: The correct move excluding rake.. but with rake? I don't want to attempt to calculate that since I don't even know how much the rake is.. but it doesn't seem worth it.
EDIT:
Actually I did forget something, the blinds and the poster! Let's try again.
Pot odds = to call : final pot size
= 5.25 : (7.75+7.75+0.50+0.75) = 5.25 : 16.75 =~ 0.31 = 31%
Eh, so basically... do I use the first or the 2nd calculation (I believe it's the 2nd), and is 3% edge large enough to make this play?
TY :>
