River flush vs shove

_Anonymous_

10.02.2021, 18:56 0

A bit of a messed up hand i should probably cbet the flop with the gs and back door fd but for some reason i check called and then turn is slightly over bet i think i have odds to call now with increased equity ? so i call and hit my flush and villain shoves :f_mad: call or fold ?

villain 49/18/6.3 only 45 hands

cheers.

iPoker - €0.10 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by Holdem Manager 3

BTN: €10.56 (105.6 bb)
Hero (SB): €14.66 (146.6 bb)
BB: €10.07 (100.7 bb)
UTG: €10.00 (100 bb)
MP: €10.81 (108.1 bb)
CO: €13.54 (135.4 bb)

Hero posts SB €0.05, BB posts €0.10

Pre Flop: (pot: €0.15) Hero has T 7
4 folds, Hero raises to €0.30, BB calls €0.20

Flop: (€0.60, 2 players) 9 6 K
Hero checks, BB bets €0.60, Hero calls €0.60

Turn: (€1.80, 2 players) 5
Hero checks, BB bets €2.00, Hero calls €2.00

River: (€5.80, 2 players) 9
Hero checks, BB bets €7.17, Hero ?

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SDK1987

Moderator

Joined: 12.11.2008

Posts: 43,990

11.02.2021, 16:32 0

I would most likely Cbet/fold the flop, but as played I would most likely fold to a pot size bet on the flop. You have 4 outs for a straight and backdoor flush draw. Decent change you are up against top pair or better and facing a big bet on turn as well. On turn you have 12 outs of the 46 unknown cards to hit a straight or flush. That's 26%. You need to call 2 euro to win 5,80 euro in total. That means you need 34,5% equity to make a call profitable and that's not the case here.

As played river is a call. Otherwise you shouldn't call the flop and turn.

Cheers,
SDK1987

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Pokrovec

Joined: 07.01.2010

Posts: 263

13.02.2021, 13:47 0

I would cbet/fold flop and turn (another draw for me), I guess you can control the pot size that way. On the river, I would bet/call as I would expect sets to raise me on the turn because of the wet board (so I am not putting him on the full house)...

The Pursuit of Happyness - NL SH

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