If I was a results oriented player I would be kicking myself for this laydown, but being a decision oriented player, I think this play was correct, what do you guys think?
PokerStars - $0.02 PL Hi FAST (6 max) - Omaha Hi - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
BTN: 100 BB (VPIP: 29.23, PFR: 21.54, 3Bet Preflop: 15.00, Hands: 65)
SB: 58.5 BB (VPIP: 20.00, PFR: 20.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 5)
BB: 228.5 BB (VPIP: 25.00, PFR: 12.50, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 8)
Hero (UTG): 100 BB
MP: 244.5 BB (VPIP: 44.74, PFR: 28.95, 3Bet Preflop: 10.00, Hands: 38)
CO: 197.5 BB (VPIP: 11.01, PFR: 6.42, 3Bet Preflop: 6.06, Hands: 110)
SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has Q♠ A♠ 5♦ Q♣
Hero raises to 3.5 BB, MP calls 3.5 BB, fold, BTN calls 3.5 BB, fold, fold
Flop: (12 BB, 3 players) Q♦ 9♣ 8♦
Hero bets 11.5 BB, MP calls 11.5 BB, BTN raises to 57.5 BB, fold, MP raises to 195.5 BB, BTN calls 39 BB and is all-in
Turn: (216.5 BB, 2 players) 8♠
River: (216.5 BB, 2 players) 4♦
I folded thinking that the raiser already had TJ, and I would be drawing to a full house against his made hand, without any redraw. As it turns out, he shows:
Spoiler
MP shows J♣ 4♣ 7♦ J♦ (Flush, Queen High) (Pre 55%, Flop 49%, Turn 68%)BTN shows 3♦ 7♥ 6♥ A♦ (Flush, Ace High) (Pre 45%, Flop 51%, Turn 33%)BTN wins 209.5 BB
Now, assuming Allan1052 would NOT call, Im almost certain I wasnt getting correct odds to call here (altho im not much of an odds guy beyond 2% per out). If we assume Allan1052 calls, I am beginning to think my laydown wasn't a +EV play, although I dont understand how neither of them turns over TJ ^^
