Turn decision, Trips on wet board

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Last Post by Ribbo 15 years ago

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Lindberg789

Joined: 10.04.2009

Posts: 314

14.01.2012, 08:53 0

PokerStars Pot-Limit Omaha, $0.25 BB (6 handed) - PokerStars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

MP ($45.46)
CO ($15.97)
Button ($25)
SB ($22.73)
Hero (BB) ($25)
UTG ($50.64)

Preflop: Hero is BB with 8, A, K, K
3 folds, Button bets $0.85, 1 fold, Hero calls $0.60

Flop: ($1.80) K, 10, 8 (2 players)
Hero checks, Button bets $1.25, Hero raises to $5.46, Button calls $4.21

Turn: ($12.72) A (2 players)
Hero checks, Button bets $10.75, Hero??

Hey guys. I choose to flat oop pre and go for the c/r on this board hopefully getting it in against bare flushdraw or 2 pair. On turn 1 of the straight hits and another flushdraw hits. I choose to check with the intention on getting it in if he bets, But im okay with giving him a chance to bet his 2pair, lower set and of course his straights, I think that if I bet myself I will isolate myself against straight only or combo draws which actually has me in bad shape.
When he ends up betting it, can we just give up? I'm blocking 2 of my own fullhouse outs, so I only have 11 outs asuming I might already be behind.
Help?

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1 reply

Ribbo

Joined: 25.06.2010

Posts: 6,151

14.01.2012, 11:39 0

You only have 8 outs if behind. :f_biggrin:

However with 2 flush draws showing, villain could be shoving all manner of things. He might have a nut flush draw in diamonds and has just hit 2 pair himself on the turn (such as A♦ J♦ T♣ 6♠ )

You have $19 left and the final pot will be $48 after rake if you shove.

So you need 39.6% equity. When you're behind you have 8 outs (assuming not against AA) so let's say 18% equity in total. Villain has to be bluffing here around 30% of the time to break even(because even when he is bluffing he will still have equity such as a flush draw so you don't get 100% of the pot when you call his bluffs).

Now personally I would have bet the turn myself, the reason being I don't want to create a reverse freeroll situation by checking (this is where villain takes a free card every time he is on a flush draw and only bets when he has a straight).

It's all down to personal read however. If you think villain bluffs here a lot, check to him and shove. If villain is passive, bet the turn yourself first to avoid a reverse freeroll.

There is no easy play, such is the life of being out of position, but without reads I think you have to stick it in.

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