[Closed] $15, A3o bubble

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Last Post by shakin65 15 years ago

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akrammon

Joined: 17.05.2009

Posts: 2,878

30.07.2011, 08:21 0

Poker Stars No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t150.00/t300.00 Blinds - 4 players
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

SB: t2755.00 9.18 BBs
BB: t2675.00 8.92 BBs
CO: t5300.00 17.67 BBs
Hero (BTN): t2770.00 9.23 BBs

Pre Flop: (t450) Hero is BTN with 3♣ A♦
1 fold, Hero raises to t2745, 1 fold, BB calls t2375 all in

SB is a reg with a lot of history, he will call pretty tight here, something like AJo+, ATs+, or maybe one lower.
When I fold I think he is pushing very wide. Maybe not ATC but close.
BB is an unknown multitabler, doesn't seem any good but it's my first bubble with him. Should I be more risk averse here or is it just standard?

:club: akrammon's midstakes STTs :club:

1 reply

shakin65

Joined: 17.09.2005

Posts: 21,498

01.08.2011, 15:57 0

nash range is 30.3%, 22+ A2s+ A7o+ A5o-A2o K3s+ KTo+ Q8s+ QTo+ J8s+ JTo T9s, which means villains should call tighter than nash to make this a good shove.

SB's nash range is 5.4%, 99+ AJs+ AQo+ and BB's 8.0%, 88+ ATs+ ATo+. According to your read it's more likely that SB is slightly looser. And unknown BBs are usually not much tighter than 8%.

On the other hand a folding war itm is not that great and a slightly -EV push should be ok. In a vacuum I like the push more against regs in the blinds.

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