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AJo flops NFD, cbet or not

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slippyjim
Joined: 07.10.2011
PokerStrategist

BU 48/27 3bet 7% - 90 hands
SB 33/21 3bet 14.5% - 142 hands

Both players play a lot of pots so should I be cbetting this or not?
There are lots of good turn cards for me A, K, Q, J, any spade, is it worth trying to induce a bet on the turn.

My standard practise in these situations when I'm a little unsure is to just bet and take it from there

Poker Stars, $3.13 Buy-in (10/20 blinds, 3 ante) No Limit Hold'em Tournament, 6 Players

SB: 1,334 (66.7 bb)
BB: 2,278 (113.9 bb)
Hero (UTG): 1,668 (83.4 bb)
MP: 798 (39.9 bb)
CO: 1,618 (80.9 bb)
BTN: 1,304 (65.2 bb)

Preflop: Hero is UTG with J♦: A♠:
Hero raises to 60, 2 folds, BTN calls 60, SB calls 50, BB folds

Flop: (218) 7♠: T♠: 2♠: (3 players)
SB checks, Hero bets 119, 2 folds

Results:

Spoiler

218 pot
Final Board: 7♠: T♠: 2♠:
SB mucked and lost (-63 net)
Hero mucked J♦: A♠: and won 218 (155 net)
BTN mucked and lost (-63 net)


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SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008
Oldschool Grinder

I would Cbet here for sure. You have the nut flush draw and I think this is a good board to semi bluff on against most likely regulars based on the pretty agro stats of both.

Cheers,
SDK1987


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slippyjim Topic starter
slippyjim
Joined: 07.10.2011
PokerStrategist

If I get shoved on, pretty weird this deep but not uncommon, I'd have to fold but would you call a raise to say 350, and would it depend on who raised?
I would be IP vs SB but a c/r would look pretty strong here
vs a BTN raise, seems a bit more bluffy to me but I would be OOP


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SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008
Oldschool Grinder

If he raised or shoved the flop it would be tricky, but I don’t think that will happen too often with in mind that we are blocking the nut flush. So than I would fold in both cases or we have reads on him he can do this light.


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TomClassy
Joined: 06.05.2015
Poker Player

you are close to 50/50 against reasonable Tx partly with fd blocker shoving range. Non-shove raise would be tricky and I would put him on a made flush or set hand most of the times.
Cbet seems legit since get to fold more than 2/3 of the opp limping range and get shoved in 50% by the range that hits the flop (16% of time).


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