Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:
$0.25/$0.5 No-Limit Hold'em (6 handed)
Known players:
[tg]SB$50.00:///////;BB$50.25:///////; (Hero)$50.00:///////;[/tg]
Preflop: Hero is MP with J:h, J:c.
UTG raises to $1.50, Hero calls $1.50, 4 folds, 3 folds, 2 folds, BB folds.
Flop: ($3.75) 7:s, 6:c, 2:h (2 players)
UTG bets $2.69, Hero calls $2.69.
Turn: ($9.13) 5:s (2 players)
UTG checks, Hero bets $5.00, UTG calls $5.00.
River: ($19.13) 5:h (2 players)
UTG bets $13.70, Hero raises to $40.81(All-In), UTG folds, Hero gets uncalled bet back.
Final Pot: $32.83.
Villain stats: 13/9 - 34 hands
Pre: I decided to just flat here. I don't have much info on this guy but his early stats suggest tightness and he is opening from utg.
Flop: Pretty standard I think. No point raising here.
Turn: Easy value bet when he checks here, some people will x/c turn with QQ+ but most will fire a second barrel. Villain tanked here for a while before checking, he called reasonably quickly. When he calls the bet I expect him to have something like A♠ x:spade: or a one pair hand that I have beat.
River: Villain tanks for a bit then donks out. My first thought was this is a fish line and is never strong, hence I jammed, he folded.
Should I just call river here? JJ is going to be good very often. I do make this sort of play with air from time to time, but usually against nitty regs that I have more stats on. Am I just value towning myself against QQ+? Does he ever call with TT-88 or A7?
