TP vs bet river

Hi.

9X is top of your range, so call. You are going to have mostly 8X and some 56/57 type of hands.

Anyway you should consider c/r Flop. I think he folds a ton, and with so many overcards in the deck I'd expect him to barrel so much on the Turn.

Thanks.

i don't like the chc F either (even pre calling 69s vs an aggro is doubtfull i think tbh)
You say hes aggro , and then you end up calling to a 4 or 7 outer, with the T almost always bringing an over he can barrel, which isn't a very good plan imo

My problem with calling is he can't really expect you to fold with 8x even imo , and therefore it isnt a good bluffing spot for him.
any J/Q/K/A id love to call his bet on , but a 5 is like on of the worst cards in the deck for him to bluf on , and he should expect you to even herocall 8x quite often imo , so dnno if u make the equity you need:)

Not possible to fold 69s to a minraise

Given that he was barreling a lot my plan was to c/r many turns to collect more money from his bluffs. But he is probably not bluffing much on turns/rivers that improve our hand (7, 9, 6) so I see the merit of raising the flop when his range is wider than on later streets.

The only problem is that I rep the hand I have (gutshots) and I'd expect him to fight back with any piece of the flop.

@yoshiwa, depends a lot on how he perceives my range here. I have lots of 8x, but at the same time: 3x, A7-A2, some Kx... And we are thinking of folding 9x . I agree that in general is not a river we should expect many bluffs on, but I can see him trying to bluff me of these hands. He was bluffing very exploitative early on the match without worrying too much about balance and what he repped, or if the river was a good card to bluff or not. Then I started to call with A/K and even Q high and he adjusted by betting very thin (like betting thrice 78 on 672JQ). So later on the match this would be a no brainer call because he'd prolly bet every 8x, but I dont think he was betting as thin at the beggining.

It's true that you rep air a lot with a check/raise. But it's balanceable with A8 K8 Q8 etc. And until he proves that he will fight back otherwise, you can just c/r here first. As mentioned, you are at the start of the match, so you want to establish dynamics first.

Preflop: Standard defend for sure vs minraise

Turn: I guess you are playing sets like this a lot when board isn't wet. I think it could be a reasonable plan too.

Yeah I agree, I'm being results oriented, because he fought back on flops like this later, but ofc I didnt know at this time.

Thanks for your time