Prima, $2/$4 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 5 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.
Hero (MP): $612.98 (153.2 bb)
CO: $568 (142 bb)
BTN: $1,032.05 (258 bb)
SB: $414 (103.5 bb)
BB: $413 (103.3 bb)
Preflop: Hero is MP with K
K
Hero raises to $12, CO folds, BTN calls $12, 2 folds
Flop: ($30) 3 8
T
(2 players)
Hero bets $20, BTN calls $20
Turn: ($70) 7 (2 players)
Hero bets $50, BTN calls $50
River: ($170) Q (2 players)
Hero bets $110, BTN raises to $950.05 and is all-in, Hero folds
Results:
Spoiler
$390 pot ($3 rake)
Final Board: 3 8 T 7 Q
Hero mucked K K and lost (-$192 net)
BTN mucked and won $387 ($195 net)
Anon table.
villain lagish stats (like 35/30 or similar) over small sample (approx 40-50 hands).
Without much thought I made a pretty terrible riverbet I believe. I tried to narrow down villains range street by street:
Preflop-flop range:
22-99(TT), AQ, AJ, A9s-ATs, KQ, KJs, KTs, QJs, QTs, JTs, 98s, 87s, (J9s)
Turn:
33-TT, AQ (10 combos), AJ (10) A9s(3), ATs, KQs(3), KJs(3), KTs, QJs, QTs, JTs 98s, 87s, (J9s)
River:
33, 77-TT, AJs(1), ATs, A9s(1), KJs(1), KTs, QTs, JTs, 98s, 87s, (J9s 1 combo)
Callingrange (or raisingrange):
33, 88, TT, AcJc, ATs(2 combo), KcJc, KTs(1), QTs(0.5), JTs(0.5), 87s, J9s(1)
Equity against calling(raising)range:
Board: T♣8♠3♦ 7♣ Q♣
Equity Win Tie
MP2 16.67% 16.67% 0.00% { KdKh }
MP3 83.33% 83.33% 0.00% { TT, 88-77, 33, QTs, 87s, AcJc, KcJc, AdTd, AsTs, KsTs, JdTd, Jh9h }
Number of combos are just some random assumptions, for instance, that villain folds 6 out of 16 combos of AQ OTF.
I am very interested in getting some feedback on this range analysis. I would not be surprised at all if I screwed something up, since this is actually the first time I am doing one of these thorough analysis of villains range streets by street.
So please, let me know what you guys think. Did I miss some hands? Are some of my assumptions a bit off? Anything! I think we all can agree on that this river bet is pretty terrible though..